from the desk of Dr. Terry F Allen

Skip navigation

Member Login  |  Contact Us  |  Sign Up

802-877-8330

Trading/Strategy Questions FAQ

Show All Answers | Hide All Answers
Can your strategies be used in an IRA account?

Yes, all the portfolios we maintain may be traded in an IRA account through many brokers. However, auto-trade in and IRA account may not be allowed by brokers.Do your portfolios trade on margin?

No. The portfolios we maintain do not require the use of margin.What is the minimum amount required to trade?

The minimum amount varies depending on which portfolio you choose and its current value. For 2021 all portfolios started with $10,000. Please contact us for more information.Under what type of market conditions do your strategies work?

The majority of our portfolios are designed to make a profit in a flat or up market.Do your strategies make money in down markets?

One of our portfolios, the 10K Bear, was set up to provide protection in case of a lower market. It is designed to make money in a flat or down market. The other portfolios are designed to make money when the market stays flat or moves up slightly.Do you have a strategy that allows for monthly profit-taking?

Cash withdrawals will be made from most portfolios in increments of 3% of starting portfolio value. For example, for a portfolio with a starting value of $10,000, on the Monday following each monthly expiration, $300 will be taken out of the account if the account balance is over $10,300. If a gain of over $600 is made in a month and the portfolio balance is over $10,600, $600 will be removed that month. The goal is to remove $3600 from the account over the course of a year and continue to maintain the $10,000 starting value.Where can I find a listing of your current positions?

The latest positions for each portfolio are reported each week in the Saturday Report, which may be found on our Insiders page. Will I receive notifications when you place trades in your portfolios?

Premium members receive notification of all trades made in any of our current portfolios at the end of the day. Premium members also may opt to receive real time alerts for the portfolio(s) of their choice.How many trade do you place each week/month?

This varies based on the portfolio, the movement of the underlying stock/index, and the time of the month. Most trades are made during expiration week, though trades are also placed whenever they are called for by our trading and adjustment rules.Do you use puts or calls in your portfolios?

We use both puts and calls in our portfolios. Some portfolios are set up to use either puts or calls exclusively, while others involve the use of both puts and calls.How risky are your strategies?

Options are leveraged investments and involve a higher degree of risk than most conventional investments (otherwise, the high returns that we have enjoyed would not be possible). However, since all of our strategies involve being both long and short options concurrently, we have some protection against the market moving in either direction, and since our long positions always have a longer life span than our short options, there will always be a residual value in our portfolios no matter what the market does (i.e., it is not possible to lose the entire amount invested as long as you are mirroring one of the Terry’s Tips portfolios). How do you manage risk?

We have a well-defined set of Trading Rules to manage risk. In addition, each week in the Saturday Report, we publish a graph that shows the loss or gain that will result in each portfolio at the next expiration at a large range of possible underlying stock prices so that subscribers can visually see the risk profile of each portfolio on an ongoing basis.

TERRY’S TIPS STOCK OPTIONS TRADING BLOG

September 26, 2022

Housing Poor

Homebuilding stocks got a boost early in the week after a prominent housing analyst upgraded the entire sector, including a rare “double upgrade” for Lennar (LEN) from underweight to overweight. The rationale was that housing tends to outperform coming out of a bear market and that “early pain = early gain.”

Now, he could very well be right … at some point. Housing stocks, along with the broader market, will eventually pull out of this bear market. But that’s off in the future. We’re still in the “early pain” phase.

LEN got a boost from the news but then trended lower after a mixed earnings report and another 75 bps rate hike from the Fed (with more to come). The stock could not pierce its declining 20-day moving average (blue line), which has kept a lid on LEN’s rally attempts after turning lower two months ago. Furthermore, the 50-day moving average (red line), which is now headed lower, sits overhead, ready to provide resistance.

This trade is based on more “early pain” for the homebuilders based on rising interest rates, mortgage rates at 14-year highs and the looming prospect of a recession. We are playing a call credit spread with the short call sitting above the 50-day, meaning that LEN will have to overcome two points of resistance to move the spread into the money.

If you agree that LEN will continue to slide lower, consider the following trade that relies on the stock staying below $82 (green line) through expiration in six weeks:

Buy to Open the LEN 4Nov 85 call (LEN221104C85)
Sell to Open the LEN 4Nov 82 call (LEN221104C82) for a credit of $1.05 (selling a vertical)

This credit is $0.02 less than the mid-point price of the spread at Friday’s $77.07 close. Unless LEN sags quickly, you should be able to get close to that price.

The commission on this trade should be no more than $1.30 per spread. Each spread would then yield $103.70. This trade reduces your buying power by $300, making your net investment $196.30 per spread ($300 – $103.70). If LEN closes below $82 on Nov. 4, both options will expire worthless and your return on the spread would be 53% ($103.70/$196.30). 

September 20, 2022

Pumped Up

Much is made of gas prices declining for so many weeks in a row (I think we’re at 13 and counting). And that’s great for drivers. But what about the oil companies. Don’t they suffer when pump prices decline? Apparently not.

Gas prices peaked in mid-June and have dropped about 25% since then. But Chevron (CVX) has gained more than 5% during that period. For the year, CVX is up 33%. Its only major blip this year was the June swoon that pulled all stocks lower. But the decline was supported by the 200-day moving average, which allowed just a handful of daily closes below it in mid-July.

This trade is based on the strength of oil companies continuing for the next couple of months. More specifically, it is relying on the continued support of the 200-day. Note that the short put of our spread is right on the 200-day (blue line) and will be below it given the trendline’s current slope. Thus, CVX will have to penetrate that support to move the spread into the money.

If you agree that CVX will respect the 200-day, consider the following trade that relies on the stock staying above $148 (red line) through expiration in six weeks:

Buy to Open the CVX 28Oct 145 put (CVX221028P145)
Sell to Open the CVX 28Oct 148 put (CVX221028P148) for a credit of $0.75 (selling a vertical)

This credit is $0.05 less than the mid-point price of the spread at Friday’s $156.45 close. Unless CVX pops quickly, you should be able to get close to that price.

The commission on this trade should be no more than $1.30 per spread. Each spread would then yield $73.70. This trade reduces your buying power by $300, making your net investment $226.30 per spread ($300 – $73.70). If CVX closes above $148 on October 28, both options will expire worthless and your return on the spread would be 33% ($73.70/$226.30). 

September 12, 2022

September 12, 2022

Warp Speed for This Lithium Producer

Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM) producers highly sought after commodities, most notably lithium and potassium fertilizers. Though it missed on earnings in its August earnings report, it easily beat on sales. A couple of analysts raised their price target after the news, though the overall mood toward the stock is between a buy and a hold.

But what do analysts know? SQM is up 120% this year (not a typo) … and it pays a dividend of more than 11%. The stock has recovered what it lost following earnings and came within four cents of hitting an all-time high in Friday’s trading. Though it has traded mostly sideways for the past three months, the overall uptrend remains intact, as the stock continues to put in higher lows. Plus, its 20-day and 50-day moving averages are pointed higher.

This trade is a play on SQM’s continued strength as it sits in one of the most favorable sectors within the global economy – supplying EV battery makers. We are thus going with a put credit spread with the short put sitting below the 20-day moving average (blue line). 

If you agree that SQM will continue its uptrend, consider the following trade that relies on the stock staying above $100 (red line) through expiration in six weeks:

Buy to Open the SQM 21Oct 95 put (SQM221021P95)
Sell to Open the SQM 21Oct 100 put (SQM221021P100) for a credit of $1.10 (selling a vertical)

This credit is $0.02 less than the mid-point price of the spread at Friday’s $111.12 close. Unless SQM pops quickly, you should be able to get close to that price.

The commission on this trade should be no more than $1.30 per spread. Each spread would then yield $108.70. This trade reduces your buying power by $500, making your net investment $391.30 per spread ($500 – $108.70). If SQM closes above $100 on October 21, both options will expire worthless and your return on the spread would be 28% ($108.70/$391.30). 

Upcoming Market Dates:

Monday September 5th. Market closed for Labor Day
Monday October 10th. Market closed for Columbus Day

Making 36%

Making 36% – A Duffer's Guide to Breaking Par in the Market Every Year in Good Years and Bad

This book may not improve your golf game, but it might change your financial situation so that you will have more time for the greens and fairways (and sometimes the woods).

Learn why Dr. Allen believes that the 10K Strategy is less risky than owning stocks or mutual funds, and why it is especially appropriate for your IRA.

Order Now

    Sign Up For The Free Options Strategy Report & Our Newsletter Now!

    Sign up for Dr. Terry F Allen’s free newsletter and get immediate access to his most current report on his stock option trading strategies.

    tradier

    Tradier offers an auto-trade service which many Terry's Tips subscribers use to follow our portfolios.

    Member Login  |   Programs and Pricing  |  Testimonials  |  About Us  |  Terms and Conditions  |  Accessibility Statement  |  Privacy Policy  |  Site Map

    Options are not suitable for all investors as the special risks inherent to options trading my expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before investing in options

    © Copyright 2001-2022 Terry's Tips, Inc. dba Terry's Tips
    235 Primrose Lane, Ferrisburgh, VT 05456