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The Terry's Tips Track Record

 

The First Half of 2015 Track Record at Terry's Tips

We currently carry out 11 portfolios at Terry’s Tips.   Paying subscribers can follow the results of all 11 (some newsletters only reveal their winning portfolios to all subscribers). Eight of the 11 portfolios can be traded through Auto-Trade at thinkorswim (so you can follow a portfolio and never have to make a trade on your own).  The 3 portfolios that cannot be Auto-Traded are simple to do on your own (usually only one trade needs to be made for an entire year).

Ten of our 11 portfolios are currently profitable, having an actual value which is greater than their starting investment value.  Some portfolios are dramatically ahead of where they started.

The only losing portfolio is based on Alibaba (BABA) – it was a bet on the Chinese market and the stock is down over 30% since we started the portfolio at the beginning of this 2015 (due to the leveraged nature of options, our portfolio loss is much greater that the stock drop). 

The best portfolio for 2015 is up 55% through July and will make exactly 91% if the three underlyings (AAPL, SPY, and GOOG) remain the same or move higher from where they were at the end of July. In fact, they can fall by varying amounts and the full 91% will come our way -  GOOG could fall by $150 over the remaining 5 months of 2015 and our investment in GOOG  would still make 100% for the year.

Another portfolio is up 44% for 2015 and is guaranteed to make 52% for the year even if the underlying (SVXY) falls by 50% between now and the end of the year. We feel quite confident that that will happen.  A portfolio based on Costco (COST) was started 25 months ago and has gained more than 100% while the stock rose 23% - our portfolio outperformed the stock by better than 4 times.  This is a typical ratio –  portfolios based on Nike (NKE) and Starbucks (SBUX) have performed similarly compared to how well the stock itself performed.

Paying subscribers can choose to follow any (or none) or all of these actual portfolios, either on their own or through Auto-Trade.  Through July of 2015, all but one of the portfolios is solidly ahead for the year, and the average gain is many times greater than the paltry 2 ½% that the market (the S&P 500) has picked up over this same time period.

The Long-Term Track Record at Terry's Tips

 

Terry’s Tips has operated sample option portfolios since 2003 for their subscribers to follow or mirror in their own accounts. These portfolios are actual portfolios, and results include all commissions that an investor would pay at thinkorswim, Inc. by TD Ameritrade. Many option newsletters conveniently (for them) do not include commissions in their performance numbers. This makes their results look a lot better than they actually are because commissions are a significant cost of trading options (unlike stock trading which involves much lower commissions).

In most of these years, the option portfolios have beaten the market averages by a very large margin. In some years, the portfolios have incurred losses similar to the magnitude of the market losses.

Option trading involves leverage, and leverage works in both directions. Gains (and losses) are often greater than changes in the market. However, we have tried to minimize the losses in down years so that our losses are less than those of the markets in general, and to enjoy greater gains than the markets in good years. Most of the time, we have been successful in carrying out these goals.

 

Terry's Tips Stock Options Trading Blog

August 25, 2015

Now Might Be the Perfect Time to Make This Volatility Trade

Today I would like to pass along a trade I just made. It has a chance of making 50% if the stock stays flat or moves moderately higher over the next ten days. I want to share it with you just in case you might like to try it yourself (with some money you could afford to lose – we’re talking about $670 here, per contract).

Terry

Now Might Be the Perfect Time to Make This Volatility Trade

The market is going crazy. VIX, the so-called Fear Index, skyrocketed to 40 yesterday, something it hasn’t done for over 2 years. It has fallen to about 30 today, and if history is any indicator, it is headed for the 12 – 14 level where it has hung out for . . .

August 17, 2015

How to Fine-Tune Market Risk With Weekly Options

This week I would like to share an article word-for-word which I sent to Insiders this week. It is a mega-view commentary on the basic options strategy we conduct at Terry’s Tips. The report includes two tactics that we have been using quite successfully to adjust our risk level each week using weekly options.

If you are already trading options, these tactic ideas might make a huge difference to your results. If you are not currently trading options, the ideas will probably not make much sense, but you might enjoy seeing the results we are having with the actual portfolios we are carrying out for our subscribers.

Terry

How to Fine-Tune Market Risk With Weekly Options

“Bernie Madoff attracted hundreds of millions of dollars by promising investors 12% a year (consistently, year after year). Most of our portfolios achieve triple that . . .

August 6, 2015

3 Options Strategies for a Flat Market

Before I delve into this week’s option idea I would like to tell you a little bit about the actual option portfolios that are carried out for Insiders at Terry’s Tips. We have 11 different portfolios which use a variety of underlying stocks or ETPs (Exchange Traded Products). Eight of the 11 portfolios can be traded through Auto-Trade at thinkorswim (so you can follow a portfolio and never have to make a trade on your own). The 3 portfolios that cannot be Auto-Traded are simple to do on your own (usually only one trade needs to be made for an entire year).

Ten of our 11 portfolios are ahead of their starting investment, some dramatically ahead. The only losing portfolio is based on Alibaba (BABA) – it was a bet on the Chinese market and the stock is down over 30% since we started the portfolio at the beginning of this year (our loss is much greater). The best portfolio for 2015 is up 55% so far and will make exactly 91% if the three underlyings (AAPL, SPY, and GOOG) remain where they presently are (or move higher). GOOG could fall by $150 and that spread would still make 100% for the year.

Another portfolio is up 44% for 2015 and is guaranteed to make 52% for the year even if the underlying (SVXY) falls by 50% between now and the end of the year. A portfolio based on Costco (COST) was started 25 months ago and is ahead more than 100% while the stock rose 23% - our portfolio outperformed the stock by better than 4 times. This is a typical ratio – portfolios based on Nike (NKE) and Starbucks (SBUX) have performed similarly.

We are proud of our portfolio performance and hope you will consider taking a look at how they are set up and perform in the future.

Terry

3 Options Strategies for a Flat Market

"Thinking is the hardest work there is, which is probably the reason why so few engage in it." - Henry Ford

If you think the market will be flat for the next month, there are several options strategies you might employ. In each . . .

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