The Terry's Tips 2017 Track Record Final Results
The year has ended, and it is time to record the results for 2017. The composite average of our 10 portfolios gained 113% for 2017, just about the best year we have enjoyed in our 16 years of publishing Terry’s Tips. Only one portfolio (Honey Badger) lost money (and it covered the entire loss for the year in the first week of 2018).
• Boomer’s Revenge – (restarted with $5000 on 1/22/18 after withdrawal of $2797) – 56% gain for 2017
• Capstone Cascade – (restarted with $10,000 on 1/2/18 after withdrawal of $4836) – 48% gain for 2017
• Contango (our only portfolio not available for Auto-Trade – restarted with $5000 on 1/2/18) – 138% gain for 2017
• Earnings Eagle (started with $5000 on 6/7/17) – 31% gain over last 6 months of 2017
• Galloping Turtle (restarted with $5000 using new strategy on 11/20/17 after withdrawal of $3960) – 79% gain for 2017
• Honey Badger (restarted with $5000 using a new strategy on 12/26/17) – 48% loss for 2017 (fully recovered in the first week of 2018)
• Leaping Leopard (restarted on 12/26/17 with $5000 after withdrawal of $2001) – 40% gain for 2017
• Rising Tide (restarted on 1/2/18 with $5000 after withdrawal of $7615) – 152% gain for 2017
• Vista Valley (restarted in 2018 after VXX reverse split is carried out with $5000 after withdrawal of $5058) – 101% gain for 2017
• Wiley Wolf (restarted on 11/8/17 with $5000 after $19,840 withdrawal) – 728% gain for 2017
Each of the above portfolios is carried in a separate brokerage account and include all commissions. We currently carry out 9 portfolios at Terry’s Tips, 8 of which are available for Auto-Trade at thinkorswim (so you can follow a portfolio and never have to make a trade on your own). All except one of these portfolios can be carried out inside an IRA. Paying subscribers can follow the results of all 9 portfolios. Some newsletters only reveal their winning portfolios to all subscribers, but at Terry's Tips, we disclose every trade and every position for every portfolio at all times.
All results include commissions at the standard rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry's Tips subscribers. Many newsletters conveniently (for them) do not include commissions when they report their trading results. By the way, our subscription rates are considerably less than just about any other options newsletter.
While we can’t promise that future years will be anywhere near as profitable as 2017 has been for us, we do believe that the basic strategies that we have developed can consistently deliver far greater returns than any conventional investments that we know of.
The Long-Term Track Record at Terry's Tips
Terry’s Tips has operated sample option portfolios since 2003 for their subscribers to follow or mirror in their own accounts. These portfolios are actual portfolios, and results include all commissions that an investor would pay at thinkorswim, Inc. by TD Ameritrade. Many option newsletters conveniently (for them) do not include commissions in their performance numbers. This makes their results look a lot better than they actually are because commissions are a significant cost of trading options (unlike stock trading which involves much lower commissions).
In most of these years, the option portfolios have beaten the market averages by a very large margin. In some years, the portfolios have incurred losses similar to the magnitude of the market losses.
Option trading involves leverage, and leverage works in both directions. Gains (and losses) are often greater than changes in the market. However, we have tried to minimize the losses in down years so that our losses are less than those of the markets in general, and to enjoy greater gains than the markets in good years. Most of the time, we have been successful in carrying out these goals.
Terry's Tips Stock Options Trading Blog
April 22, 2019
This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies. We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.
Terry
Will Lululemon Athletica (LULU) Continue to Gain After Breaking to a Record High?
LULU has posted some impressive gains as of late and these two analysts see more upside – Why Lululemon’s Digital Business Is So Profitable and 3 Top Stocks to Buy for the Week.
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April 15, 2019
This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies. We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. The actual portfolio at Terry’s Tips which trades these weekly ideas has gained 220% so far in 2019. Of course, we don’t expect this kind of success to persist, but so far we feel quite good about our chances.
By the way, we have another actual portfolio which trades an entirely different idea each week (one based on dividend payments), and it has notched 11 consecutive gains with nary a loss. In this portfolio, spreads are almost always closed out in one week after placing them.
Terry
Will Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Continue Higher Following the Impressive Rally?
ULTA is already up a significant amount this year and these two analysts still expect further upside – Despite Rising 50%, Ulta Beauty Is Still A Buy and Ulta Up 10.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
The stock is seen consolidating sideways over the past few weeks and was last seen testing a confluence of support. The support area consists of prior resistance that followed the earnings-inspired gap up in the middle of March as well as the 20-day moving average. In the event the stock dips below this support confluence, further support is seen from the lower bound of a rising trend channel that originates from a low posted near the end of December.
[caption id="attachment_2377" align="alignnone" width="300"]
ULTA Chart April 2019[/caption]
If you agree there's further upside ahead for ULTA, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, at least a little.
Buy To Open ULTA 24MAY19 342.5 Puts (ULTA190524P342.5)
Sell To Open ULTA 24MAY19 345 Puts (ULTA190524P345) for a credit of $1.14 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when ULTA was trading near $345. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers). Each contract would then yield $111.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $138.50 ($250 – $111.50). If ULTA closes at any price above $345 on May 24, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 81% (758% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
[caption id="attachment_2378" align="alignnone" width="258"]
IBD Underlying Updates April 11, 2019[/caption]
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
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April 8, 2019
This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies. We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. Our actual portfolio that makes these investments at Terry’s Tips has gained 188% so far in 2019. Of course, past performance is not always indicative of what might happen in the future, but we feel good about our results so far.
Terry
Will Intuit Inc (INTU) Continue to March Higher?
Several analysts think INTU has some good upside momentum, here are two of them – Intuit is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy? And Is Intuit Inc. A Good Stock to Buy?
INTU has been holding above a rising trendline that originates from a low posted in late December. Currently, the stock is testing this trendline where a confluence is seen as the 20-day moving average is within proximity as well as a horizontal level near $260 that acted as prior resistance.
If you agree there's further upside ahead for INTU, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.
Buy To Open INTU 10May19 257.50 Puts (INTU190510P257.50)
Sell To Open INTU 10May19 260 Puts (INTU190510P260) for a credit of $0.93 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when INTU was trading near $262. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers). Each contract would then yield $90.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $159.50 ($250 – $90.50). If Intu closes at any price above $260 on May 10, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% (650% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
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