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The Terry's Tips Track Record

 

The First Nine Months of 2015 Track Record at Terry's Tips

We currently carry out 11 portfolios at Terry’s Tips.   Paying subscribers can follow the results of all 11 (some newsletters only reveal their winning portfolios to all subscribers). Eight of the 11 portfolios can be traded through Auto-Trade at thinkorswim (so you can follow a portfolio and never have to make a trade on your own).  The 3 portfolios that cannot be Auto-Traded are simple to do on your own (usually only one trade needs to be made for an entire year).

Our portfolio based on Costco (COST) was started in June of 2013 and has gained 197% through September of 2015 while the stock rose 31%.

Our Starbucks (SBUX) options trading gained 195% for the first 9 months of 2015 while the stock rose 43%.

Our portfolio based on Nike (NKE) was started in July of 2013 and has gained 138% since then while the stock has gained 32%.

Our portfolio based on options of Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL), and the S&P 500 (SPY) has gained 38% in 2015.

Our portfolio based on an ETP called SVXY has gained 30% for the first 9 months of 2015 and will gain 52% for the year if SVXY ends up the year at any price over $40 (current price $55)

Paying subscribers can choose to follow any (or none) or all of these actual portfolios, either on their own or through Auto-Trade.  Through July of 2015, all but one of the portfolios is solidly ahead for the year, and the average gain is many times greater than the paltry 2 ½% that the market (the S&P 500) has picked up over this same time period.

The Long-Term Track Record at Terry's Tips

 

Terry’s Tips has operated sample option portfolios since 2003 for their subscribers to follow or mirror in their own accounts. These portfolios are actual portfolios, and results include all commissions that an investor would pay at thinkorswim, Inc. by TD Ameritrade. Many option newsletters conveniently (for them) do not include commissions in their performance numbers. This makes their results look a lot better than they actually are because commissions are a significant cost of trading options (unlike stock trading which involves much lower commissions).

In most of these years, the option portfolios have beaten the market averages by a very large margin. In some years, the portfolios have incurred losses similar to the magnitude of the market losses.

Option trading involves leverage, and leverage works in both directions. Gains (and losses) are often greater than changes in the market. However, we have tried to minimize the losses in down years so that our losses are less than those of the markets in general, and to enjoy greater gains than the markets in good years. Most of the time, we have been successful in carrying out these goals.

 

Terry's Tips Stock Options Trading Blog

January 17, 2016

Making a Long-Term Options Bet on Oil

The market is closed for the Marin Luther King holiday today, and maybe you have a little time to see how we plan to make some exceptional returns by playing what might happen with oil prices.

I would like to share with you details on a new portfolio we have set up at Terry’s Tips. It is a long-term bet that the price of oil will eventually recover from its recent 12-year lows, but maybe it will get even worse in the short run before an eventual recovery takes place. In the wonderful world of stock options, you can bet on both possibilities at once, and possibly make double-digit monthly gains while you wait for the future to unfold.

I hope you enjoy my thinking about an option strategy based on the future of oil prices. Maybe you might like to emulate these positions in your own account or become a Terry’s Tips Insider and watch them evolve over time.

Terry

Making a Long-Term Options Bet on Oil

Nobel Laureate Yale University professor Robert Shiller was interviewed by Alex Rosenberg of CNBC on July 6, 2015. He delivered his oft-repeated message that he believed that both stocks and bonds were overvalued and . . .

January 11, 2016

Half-Price Offer Ends at Midnight Tonight

All good things must end, they say. Tonight at midnight, the lowest price offer we have ever made in the history of our company, does just that. It ends. Tomorrow we will return to the prices that thousands of smart investors have paid over the past 14 years.

If you ever considered becoming a Terry’s Tips Insider, this would be the absolutely best time to do it.

To get our entire package for only $39.95, you must order by midnight tonight – only $39.95 for our entire package -here using Special Code 2016 (or 2016P for Premium Service - $79.95).

Terry

Half-Price Offer Ends at Midnight Tonight

If all good things must end, it is equally true that all bad things must end as well. Hopefully, the dreadful start for the market in 2016 will end as well. Volatility has skyrocketed as the market has tumbled. The so-called fear Index (VIX – the measure of option prices on the S&P 500 tracking stock, SPY) closed above 27 on Friday. This compares to an average range of about 12 – 14 over the last few years.

When VIX reaches 27, it means that option prices are about twice as high as they are on average. For Terry’s Tips’ subscribers, that is a big deal. Since our strategy consists of selling those short-term options, this could be one of the most profitable opportunities that come along all year.

The historical fluctuation of VIX is that it makes sudden forays above 20 when market uncertainty flares up (usually due to an unexpected event like a war breaking out or a 9/11 type terrorist attack, of some economic calamity or fear of slower growth). This time around, it seems to be fears that China’s unusually high growth rate might be slowing. Instead of . . .

January 6, 2016

Favorite Suggested Books for the Conservative Options Investor

The market has made a dreadful start of the year. This is the perfect time to check out the world of options because there are many profitable ways to make money with options even when the markets are crashing everywhere.

Terry’s Tips is celebrating its 14th birthday this month. As our birthday gift to you, we are offering our service at the lowest price in the history of our company. Thousands of subscribers have paid double this price to join. If you ever considered becoming a Terry’s Tips Insider, this would be the absolutely best time to do it.

To get our entire package for only $39.95, you must order by midnight on January 11, 2016. at the lowest price ever offered in our 14 years of publication – only $39.95 for our entire package -here using Special Code 2016 (or 2016P for Premium Service - $79.95).

This week I will share some of my favorite books on investing. I hope you enjoy reading one or more of them.

Terry

Favorite Suggested Books for the Conservative Options Investor

I am often asked about my favorite books on investing (other than my own Making 36%: Duffer’s Guide to Breaking Par in the Markets Every Year, In Good Years and Bad). There have been several revised editions of this book, and the 2015 edition came out just a couple of months ago.

Here is my list of favorites:

Making 36%

Making 36% – A Duffer's Guide to Breaking Par in the Market Every Year in Good Years and Bad

This book may not improve your golf game, but it might change your financial situation so that you will have more time for the greens and fairways (and sometimes the woods).

Learn why Dr. Allen believes that the 10K Strategy is less risky than owning stocks or mutual funds, and why it is especially appropriate for your IRA.

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