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The Terry's Tips Track Record

 

The Terry's Tips 2016 Track Record and the Start of 2017

At the end of the first 4 months of 2017, the 9 portfolios carried out at Terry's Tips had gained an average of 43.8%.  Every portfolio is in the black.  Most investors would be delighted to make half this amount for an entire year.

We currently carry out 9 portfolios at Terry’s Tips, 8 of which are available for Auto-Trade at thinkorswim (so you can follow a portfolio and never have to make a trade on your own).    All except one of these portfolios can be carried out inside an IRA.   Paying subscribers can follow the results of all 9 portfolios. Some newsletters only reveal their winning portfolios to all subscribers, but at Terry's Tips , we disclose every trade and every position for every portfolio at all times.  

All results include commissions at the standard rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry's Tips subscribers.  Many newsletters conveniently (for them) do not include commissions when they report their trading results.  By the way, our subscription rates are considerably less than the average options newsletter out there.

In 2015 and 2016, using what we call the 10k Strategy (calendar and diagonal spreads on stocks we like), we were lucky enough to pick some good companies, and all 5 that we picked in 2015 and 2016 made it possible for us to double the portfolio value in an average of 13 months.  

These 5 companies were Costco (COST), Starbucks (SBUX), Nike (NKE), Facebook (FB), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Each of these companies moved up nicely for us, and our portfolios gained many times the percentage gains in the stock.

Our best-performing strategy for 2017 to date has been the one based on Facebook.  The stock has had a great run, picking up 30.6%.  Our portfolio has gained 216% in that time, 7 times as great as the gain in the stock.

From 2013 through 2016, we also carried out portfolios which used a strategy of picking companies we liked (or Exchange Traded Products, ETPs), and selling long-term vertical credit spreads on them.  These portfolios averaged over 40% gains per year over this period, and because of this success, we shifted most of our portfolios to this strategy at the beginning of 2017.

We carry out portfolios with differing risk levels.  Our most conservative portfolio picks several blue chip companies which pay high dividends (which help protect against a big price drop), and set up option spreads which will make profits just as long as the stock does not fall more than about 10% for the year.  This portfolio is designed to gain 30% for the year. After the first 4 months, this portfolio is well ahead of schedule and has gained 26.4%.  At this point, every underlying stock but one could fall by 10% between now and the end of the year and this portfolio would still gain at least 37% for the year.

Other portfolios are designed to gain 40% - 50% per year, but the underlying stock or ETPs must do a little better than falling 10% to make those gains. Many portfolios will make these numbers as long as the stock ends up the year at any higher price than where it starts out.

While we don’t expect to be able to continue the wonderful results we achieved in the first 4 months, we are surely off to a good start toward achieving the goals we have set up for each portfolio.

The Long-Term Track Record at Terry's Tips

 

Terry’s Tips has operated sample option portfolios since 2003 for their subscribers to follow or mirror in their own accounts. These portfolios are actual portfolios, and results include all commissions that an investor would pay at thinkorswim, Inc. by TD Ameritrade. Many option newsletters conveniently (for them) do not include commissions in their performance numbers. This makes their results look a lot better than they actually are because commissions are a significant cost of trading options (unlike stock trading which involves much lower commissions).

 

In most of these years, the option portfolios have beaten the market averages by a very large margin. In some years, the portfolios have incurred losses similar to the magnitude of the market losses.

 

Option trading involves leverage, and leverage works in both directions. Gains (and losses) are often greater than changes in the market. However, we have tried to minimize the losses in down years so that our losses are less than those of the markets in general, and to enjoy greater gains than the markets in good years. Most of the time, we have been successful in carrying out these goals.

 

Terry's Tips Stock Options Trading Blog

May 10, 2017

Closing Out Last Week’s Facebook Trades

Today I would like to report on the gains I made last Friday on the trades I told you about that I had placed last Monday in advance of Facebook’s (FB) earnings announcement on May 3. I was fortunate enough for the stock to take a moderate drop after the announcement, and have some thoughts on how I might play the FB earnings announcement in 3 months.

Terry

Closing Out Last Week’s Facebook Trades

A little over a week ago, I passed on a pre-earnings trade I had made on Facebook in advance of their May 3 after-market announcement. Essentially, I bought calendar spreads (long side 16Jun17 series and short side 05May17 series) at the 150, 152.5 and 155 strikes when FB was trading just under $152.

I was hoping that the stock would barely budge after the announcement. I was lucky. It did just that, falling a bit to close out the week at $150.24, about $1.50 lower than it was when I bought the spreads.

Near the close, I was able to buy back all of the . . .

May 2, 2017

Interesting Earnings Play on Facebook

Facebook (FB) has had a great year so far, gaining just over 30%. Terry's Tips has an actual portfolio that trades calendar and diagonal spreads on FB. This portfolio has gained 157% this year, more than 5 times as much as the stock has gone up. A big part of this gain came just after the January earnings announcement when the stock dropped a small amount on the news.

FB announces earnings after the close on Wednesday (May 3), and I would like to share some trades I made today in my personal account at my favorite broker, tastyworks. These trades approximate the current risk profile of the Terry's Tips’ FB portfolio.

Terry

Interesting Earnings Play on Facebook

Terry's Tips carries out 9 actual portfolios for paying subscribers. After the first four months of 2017, all 9 portfolios are in the black. The composite average has gained 34.5% for the year, certainly an outstanding result. The FB portfolio is by far the greatest . . .

April 17, 2017

40% Possible in 2 Weeks With an Iron Condor?

Today’s idea involves an esoteric Exchange Traded Product (ETP) called SVXY. It is one of our favorite underlyings at Terry's Tips. Chances are, you don’t know very much about it, and I can’t help you much in this short note. But I will share a trade I made on this ETP this morning, and my thinking behind this trade.

Terry

40% Possible in 2 Weeks With an Iron Condor?

The best way to explain how SVXY works might be to explain that it is the inverse of VXX, the ETP that some people buy when they fear that the market is about to crash. Many articles have been published extolling the virtues of VXX as the ideal protection against a setback in the market. When the market falls, volatility (VIX) most always rises, and when VIX rises, VXX almost always does as well. It is not uncommon for VXX to double in value in a very short time when the market corrects.

The only problem with VXX is that in the long run, it is just about the worst equity that you could . . .

Making 36%

Making 36% – A Duffer's Guide to Breaking Par in the Market Every Year in Good Years and Bad

This book may not improve your golf game, but it might change your financial situation so that you will have more time for the greens and fairways (and sometimes the woods).

Learn why Dr. Allen believes that the 10K Strategy is less risky than owning stocks or mutual funds, and why it is especially appropriate for your IRA.

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TastyWorks

Tastyworks is a new brokerage firm from the brains behind tastytrade and it is our top choice of options-friendly brokers. Their commission rates are extremely competitive - options trades are only $1 per contract to open and $0 commission to close (all options trades incur a clearing fee of $0.10 per contract). The tastyworks trading platform quickly became our favorite platform for options trading and it keeps getting better with new features released each week. Terry uses tastyworks and loves everything about them!

TD Ameritrade

This Chicago brokerage firm with the unlikely name thinkorswim, Inc. by TD Ameritrade is considered by many to be the best option-friendly broker. For openers, they have extremely good analytic software and their option trading platform is exceptional. Thinkorswim Mobile has been called the best mobile app in the industry. In 2017, TD Ameritrade received 4 stars out of 5 in the annual Barron`s* Best Online Brokers Survey. TD Ameritrade was tops as an online broker for long-term investors and for novices. The company is the only broker that receives the highest 5.0 score for research amenities among all firms participated in the ranking last year.

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TD Ameritrade, Inc. and Terry's Tips are separate, unaffiliated companies and are not responsible for each other’s services and products.

tastyworks, Inc. has entered into a Marketing Agreement with Terry’s Tips (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastyworks pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastyworks’ brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastyworks and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastyworks nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. tastyworks does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent or this website.

tastyworks, Inc. and Terry’s Tips are separate, unaffiliated companies and are not responsible for each other’s services and products. Options are not suitable for all investors as the special risks inherent to options trading my expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. Options trading in a tastyworks account is subject to tastyworks’ review and approval. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before investing in options

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