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Paypal (PYPL) – A Longstanding Favorite Among Analysts

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

A majority of analysts have consistently given PYPL a Strong Buy rating over the past year, and rightfully so. The stock is up 74% YTD even though it’s down about 13% from the all-time high posted last month. The following two articles shed some light on why investors are drawn to the company: Robinhood Investors Love PayPal. Should They? and Is PayPal Stock A Buy Right Now? Here’s What Earnings, Charts Show.

Technicals

PYPL has mostly traded sideways for the last four months which is not that surprising as stocks often fall into a period of consolidation after a powerful rally. The 100-Day moving average has come into play and while there have been a few days where PYPL traded below it, buyers have been quick to lift the stock back above it. With PYPL trading close to the lower bound of the recent range, this could be an attractive price point to consider a long position.

PYPL Chart November 2020 - Strong Buy

PYPL Chart November 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for PYPL, consider this trade which relies on the stock remaining above the $185 level through the expiration in five weeks.

Buy To Open PYPL 18DEC20 180 Puts (PYPL201218P180)
Sell To Open PYPL 18DEC20 185 Puts (PYPL201218P185) for a credit of $1.83 (selling a vertical)

This credit is $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading near $189.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will be only $1.30 per spread.  Each spread would then yield $181.70. This reduces your buying power by $500 and makes your investment $318.30 ($500 – $181.70).  If PYPL closes at any price above $185 on December 18, both options will expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% ($181.70 / $318.30), or 650% annualized.

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 14, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates November 14, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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