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Posts Tagged ‘stock options’

Will Paypal (PYPL) Continue Its Upward Momentum?

Monday, March 12th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. The actual portfolio at Terry’s Tips where we place the trades we tell you about a couple of days later is now ahead 84% so far in 2018, and that includes our closing out the BABA spread last week at a slight loss when we could have made the max gain if we had waited three more days until expiration.  Even we make bad trades once in a while (although we still believe we made the prudent move – no one could have predicted that BABA would soar $11 in the last three days before expiration).

Terry

Will Paypal (PYPL) Continue Its Upward Momentum?

Several articles have recently been published on the positive outlook for PYPL.  Here are two of them – Paypal Holdings Stock Is Itching for a Breakout and BMO Capital Markets Boosts Paypal Price Target to $89.00.

As the above technical article has mentioned, the 20-period moving average on a weekly chart held Paypal stock higher following the earnings-inspired correction in early February.  PYPL has since climbed back above the same moving average on a daily chart, which has held declines in the month thus far.  The stock has also breached above the psychological $80 price point which had held prices lower in late February.

PYPL Chart March 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Paypal, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open PYPL 20APR18 77.5 Puts (PYPL180420P77.5)
Sell To Open PYPL 20APR18 80 Puts (PYPL180420P80) for a credit of $0.83 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading near $81.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $81 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $169 ($250 – $81).  If PYPL closes at any price above $80.00 on April 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 48% (449% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Is Alibaba’s (BABA) Post-Earnings Dip a Buying Opportunity?

Monday, February 5th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.  By the way, while last week was the worst week for the market in several years, our most popular portfolio managed to gain 55% for the week after its underlying (Facebook) announced earnings.

Terry

Is Alibaba’s (BABA) Post-Earnings Dip a Buying Opportunity?

Several analysts believe there is further upside ahead for Alibaba, here are two of them – Alibaba PT Raised to $218 at Deutsche Bank and Alibaba PT Raised to $250 at Morgan Stanley.

Alibaba stock fell under pressure following last week’s earnings release and is seen trading near the halfway point measured from last month’s low to a high posted at the end of January.  Strong support is seen near the psychological $180 price point as it confluences with the lower line of a rising trend channel as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the leg higher from early December.

BABA Chart January 2018

BABA Chart January 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Alibaba, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open BABA 9Mar18 177.50 Puts (BABA180309P177.5)
Sell To Open BABA 9Mar18 180.00 Puts (BABA180309P180) for a credit of $0.85 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when BABA was trading near $187.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $83 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $167 ($250 – $83).  If BABA closes at any price above $180.00 on March 9, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 50% (567% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates February 1, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates February 1, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Terry’s Tips Introduces tastyworks!

Saturday, January 13th, 2018

Greetings, Terry’s Tips subscriber!

One of our best relationships over the course of 2017 has been with the guys that created thinkorswim. They have now moved on from that experience to introduce to us the newest kid on the brokerage block: tastyworks! If you ask us, we think their commission structure is absolutely the best one around, especially if you are a heavy options trader like we are. We love the things they are doing and don’t want you to miss out. Read on to see the message they sent to their tastyworks and tastytrade friends.

It’s time to join their nation!

Terry

“Hello, tastynation!

To start off 2018 just right, we want to thank you for your show of unconditional support and irreplaceable loyalty for tastytrade and tastyworks. You are the reason we’re driving change to the financial industry. We’ve not only planned more of what you love, like more live tastytrade shows in 25 cities, more trading tools, more mind-blowing content, more new daily shows – but also stuff that will leave you thinking, “How’d they do THAT?”

tastyworks introduced zero commissions to close trades on Jan 3rd, 2017. Starting tomorrow, on Jan 2nd, 2018, tastyworks is introducing capped commissions for large option trades. This means the most commission you will pay for any single leg option trade is $10* (plus clearing fees). That’s right, just $10* per leg!

Eighteen years ago, when we built thinkorswim, 100 option contracts to open and close was $300+. At the time, we thought $1.50 per contract was cheap. Today, the industry average per contract is about $.70 plus a small ticket charge. So, 100 option contracts today is approximately $150 to open and close at most firms. With tastyworks’ new rate schedule, the same trade will cost $10 in commissions to open, zero in commissions to close and a $20 clearing fee for a total of $30. Compare that rate to any other firm on the planet and remember how good our technology and content is as well. Fees for small options trades (10 contracts or less) stay the same.

But we’re not done. As an added bonus, tastyworks will have twelve monthly drawings for funded accounts (minimum of $2,000) and each month, one customer will win free commissions for 5 years. And no, we haven’t lost our minds. We simply want to do something special and this is just the start.

On the technology side, tastyworks is releasing a new analysis tab, portfolio margin, options on futures, paper trading, an open API, a new scripting language and lots of new mobile features.

So thank you again for the incredible engagement over the past year. You have helped to make tastytrade and tastyworks one of America’s fastest growing financial innovators.

Scott / Woody & the tastyworks team
Kristi / Tom & the tastytrade team

**The only exclusions are futures options and a few cash-settled indices. Clearing, regulatory and exchange fees still apply. See website for full details. Clearing fees are $.10 per contract. tastyworks does not have ticket charges, monthly minimums, platform fees, data fees, cancel fees, excess risk fees or fees for access to live trade desk support.”

tastytrade content is provided solely by tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”) and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities can involve high risk and the loss of any funds invested. tastytrade, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors, and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. tastytrade is not in the business of transacting securities trades, nor does it direct client commodity accounts or give commodity trading advice tailored to any particular client’s situation or investment objectives. tastytrade is not a licensed financial advisor, registered investment advisor, or a registered broker-dealer.

tastyworks, Inc. (“tastyworks”) is a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA, NFA, and SIPC. tastyworks is a wholly owned subsidiary of tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”). tastyworks and tastytrade are separate but affiliated companies that are not responsible for each other’s products, services or policies. Options are not suitable for all investors as the special risks inherent to options trading may expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before investing in options. Options trading is subject to tastyworks account review and approval.

tastyworks, Inc. (“tastyworks”) has entered into a Market Agreement with [Insert Agent] (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastyworks pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastyworks’ brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastyworks and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastyworks nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent, its website or this email. tastyworks does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent, its website, or this email.

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