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Posts Tagged ‘Profit’

Will Paypal (PYPL) Continue Its Upward Momentum?

Monday, March 12th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. The actual portfolio at Terry’s Tips where we place the trades we tell you about a couple of days later is now ahead 84% so far in 2018, and that includes our closing out the BABA spread last week at a slight loss when we could have made the max gain if we had waited three more days until expiration.  Even we make bad trades once in a while (although we still believe we made the prudent move – no one could have predicted that BABA would soar $11 in the last three days before expiration).

Terry

Will Paypal (PYPL) Continue Its Upward Momentum?

Several articles have recently been published on the positive outlook for PYPL.  Here are two of them – Paypal Holdings Stock Is Itching for a Breakout and BMO Capital Markets Boosts Paypal Price Target to $89.00.

As the above technical article has mentioned, the 20-period moving average on a weekly chart held Paypal stock higher following the earnings-inspired correction in early February.  PYPL has since climbed back above the same moving average on a daily chart, which has held declines in the month thus far.  The stock has also breached above the psychological $80 price point which had held prices lower in late February.

PYPL Chart March 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Paypal, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open PYPL 20APR18 77.5 Puts (PYPL180420P77.5)
Sell To Open PYPL 20APR18 80 Puts (PYPL180420P80) for a credit of $0.83 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading near $81.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $81 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $169 ($250 – $81).  If PYPL closes at any price above $80.00 on April 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 48% (449% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Weibo Corp (WB) Surges On a Stellar Earnings Report, Can it Continue the Momentum?

Monday, February 26th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. At Terry’s Tips, we carry out actual portfolios for our subscribers to follow (either on their own or through Auto-Trade at their broker).  One of these portfolios places our Idea of the Week that we publish here.  So far in 2018, this portfolio has gained 69% and over half the portfolio value is now in cash since several of the put credit spreads that we sold earlier expired worthless over the past two weeks. I hope you enjoy these ideas that we pass along.

Terry

Weibo Corp (WB) Surges On a Stellar Earnings Report, Can it Continue the Momentum?

Several analysts have revised up their price targets after Weibo Corporation tripled Q4 earnings earlier this month.  Here are two of them – Weibo Corp (WB) PT Raised to $150 at Barclays and Weibo Corp (WB) PT Raised to $154 at Nomura; Momentum Remains Strong.

WB turned from trendline support earlier this month and was boosted to all-time highs following an impressive fourth-quarter earnings report.  Since breaking notable horizontal resistance at $132.21 the stock is seen consolidating sideways which is a common bullish continuation pattern after a sharp acceleration to the upside.

WB Chart February 2018

WB Chart February 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Weibo, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open WB 23Mar18 138 Puts (WB180323P138)
Sell To Open WB 23Mar18 139 Puts (WB180323P139) for a credit of $0.48 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when WB was trading near $139.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $0.46 and your broker would charge a $100 maintenance fee, making your investment $54 ($100 – $46).  If WB closes at any price above $139.00 on March 23, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 85% (1152% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates February 22, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates February 22, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Consider Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) After Their Earnings Report

Monday, January 29th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our option portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that profit if the momentum continues, at least a little bit.  By the way, the 9 actual options portfolios we carry out at Terry’s Tips had a banner week again last week, with an average portfolio gain of 8.8%, 4 times the weekly gain for the market (SPY) gain of 2.2%.

Terry

Consider Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) After Their Earnings Report

Interactive Brokers Group stock rallied to all-time highs shortly after their earnings report which was released earlier this month.  Analysts at Zack’s believe there is further upside and have recently published an article indicating Why Interactive Brokers Group Stock Might be a Great Pick.  Another article published on Motley Fool breaks down why Interactive Brokers is “building a sustainably profitable business heading into 2018.”

 

IBKR Chart January 2018

IBKR Chart January 2018

From a technical perspective, IBKR has taken out the 2017 high which was set in December at $62.33.  The level is now seen as strong downside support as it confluences with the lower line of a rising trend channel that originates from a low in November as well as the 20-period daily moving average.

 

IBD Underlying Updates January 25, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates January 25, 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Interactive Brokers, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, at least a little, over the next seven weeks.

Buy To Open IBKR 16Mar18 60 Puts (IBKR180316P60)
Sell To Open IBKR 16Mar18 65 Puts (IBKR180316P65) for a credit of $1.83 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when IBKR was trading near $65.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $181 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $319 ($500 – $181).  If IBKR closes at any price above $65 on March 18, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% (450% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

 

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Red Hat (RHT) is Set To Extend the Momentum

Monday, January 22nd, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum. We selected this same company six weeks ago, and the spread we placed at that time will have gained 60% by next Friday if the stock ends up above $123 at that time (it is about $126 right now).

Terry

Red Hat (RHT) is Set To Extend the Momentum

Red hat stock saw some strong gains in 2017 and several analysts believe there is further upside ahead including BMO Capital Markets who have raised their targets to $142.00 and Wells Fargo & Co who are looking for a rise to $144.00.

From a technical perspective, RHT has been consolidating sideways for a few months.  A confluence of support from a rising trendline dating back to a low posted in June and a horizontal level at $120.00 recently triggered a turn higher which has resulted in the stock price climbing back above its 50-period daily moving average.  The $130 handle may present a hurdle but a break of the level is likely to accompany a renewal of upside momentum.

 

RHT Chart January 2018

RHT Chart January 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Red Hat, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next four weeks.

Buy To Open RHT 16Feb18 120 Puts (RHT180216P120)
Sell To Open RHT 16Feb18 125 Puts (RHT180216P125) for a credit of $1.83 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when RHT was trading near $126.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $181 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $319 ($500 – $181).  If RHT closes at any price above $125 on February 16, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% (647% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 18, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates January 18, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Adobe Systems (ADBE): Q4 Earnings Beat to Fuel Further Momentum

Monday, January 8th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum. Speaking of our portfolios, I would like to share with you the exact report for 2017 that we sent to Terry’s Tips’ paying subscribers this week – “All of the portfolios except Boomers’ Revenge and Vista Valley have been reset for 2018. Boomers’ Revenge will start over with $5000 after the 1/19/18 spreads expire with an almost-certain gain of 56% for the “year” starting and ending on the third Friday of January.  The others:

  • Capstone Cascade – (restarted with $10,000 on 1/2/18) – 48% gain for 2017
  • Contango (our only portfolio not available for Auto-Trade – restarted with $5000 on 1/2/18) – 138% gain for 2017
  • Earnings Eagle (started with $5000 on 6/7/17) – 31% gain over last 6 months of 2017
  • Galloping Turtle (restarted with new strategy on 11/20/17 after withdrawal of $3960) –  79% gain for 2017
  • Honey Badger (restarted with $5000 using a new strategy on 12/26/17) – 48% loss for 2017, our only losing portfolio (fully recovered loss in the first week of 2018)
  • Leaping Leopard (restarted on 12/26/17 with $5000 after withdrawal of $2001) – 40% gain for 2017
  • Rising Tide (restarted on 1/2/18 with $5000 after withdrawal of $7615) – 152% gain for 2017
  • Vista Valley (restarted on 1/19/18 with $5000 after withdrawal of $5058) – 101% gain for 2017
  • Wiley Wolf (restarted on 11/8/17 with $5000 after $19,840 withdrawal) – 728% gain for 2017 as FB soared 56%.”

Terry

Adobe Systems (ADBE): Q4 Earnings Beat to Fuel Further Momentum

Two recent analyst upgrades suggest there is potential for a 10% upside in Adobe Systems stock price as BMO Capital Markets have recently raised their price targets to $205 and BofA have set a target of $220.

The technical outlook for ADBE is encouraging.  The stock posted a steady rally throughout 2017 for an annual gain of roughly 70%.  ADBE corrected lower in late November but bounced back after a test of horizontal support at 165.50 from a prior gap.  It has since recovered back above the 50-period daily moving average and is on the verge of breaking to new highs, suggesting the uptrend has resumed.

ADBE Chart January 2018

ADBE Chart January 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Adobe Systems, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next six weeks.

Buy To Open ADBE 16Feb18 180 Puts (ADBE180216P180)
Sell To Open ADBE 16Feb18 185 Puts (ADBE180216P185) for a credit of $1.85 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when ADBE was trading near $185.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $183 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $317 ($500 – $183).  If ADBE closes at any price above $185 on February 18, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 58% (540% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 4, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates January 4, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Fleetcor Technologies (FLT) Likely to Cross $200 Mark

Tuesday, January 2nd, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.  The 2017 trading year is over.  The 10 option portfolios carried out at Terry’s Tips gained an average of 113% for the year.  Only one portfolio lost money, and four of them earned over 100%.  It was the best year in our 16-year history.  We look forward to a similar outcome in 2018.  We invite you to come along for the ride.

Terry

Fleetcor Technologies (FLT) Likely to Cross $200 Mark

Two recent analyst upgrades suggest Fleetcor Technologies stock will cross the $200 point as Deutsche Bank has raised their price targets to $225 and Jefferies has raised their target to $218.

FLT posted a sixth consecutive week of gains in the past week and closed at an all-time record high.  In fact, the stock has only had three down weeks in the last 19 and each one of those declines was not very significant.  A rising trendline is in play that originates from a low posted in September and offers support near the $190 price point where the 20-period daily moving average is also found to add confluence.

FLT Chart January 2018

FLT Chart January 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Fleetcor Technologies, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next seven weeks.

Buy To Open FLT 16Feb18 185 Puts (FLT180216P185)
Sell To Open FLT 16Feb18 190 Puts (FLT180216P190) for a credit of $1.78 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FLT was trading near $192.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $176 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $324 ($500 – $176).  If FLT closes at any price above $190 on February 16, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 54% (431% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 28, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 28, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Red Hat (RHT) Dips Following Earnings, Is it A Buy?

Tuesday, December 26th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

We wish you the best of the holiday season…

Terry

Red Hat (RHT) Dips Following Earnings, Is it A Buy?

Red Hat stock pulled back in the past week after crushing third-quarter earnings targets.  Several analysts revised up their price targets both ahead and after the earnings report.  Here are two of them – Red Hat (RHT) PT Raised to $145 at Barclays, Sees a Strong Q3 Report Ahead and Red Hat (RHT) PT Raised to $150 at Deuthsche Bank on 3Q Beat & Raised FY Guidance.

RHT has seen a strong rally throughout the year and last week’s pullback has not altered the positive technical outlook.  A rising trendline dating back to a low posted in August remains intact and held the stock higher in the past week.  Horizontal support at the psychological $120.00 handle was found near the trendline line to add confluence.  In the absence of a bearish catalyst, the technicals suggests the stock can continue its uptrend from here.

RHT Chart December 2017

RHT Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Red Hat, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, at least a little bit, over the next four weeks.

Buy To Open RHT 19 Jan 18 $122 Puts (RHT180119P122)
Sell To Open RHT 19 Jan 18 $123 Puts (RHT180119P123) for a credit of $0.50 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when RHT was trading near $123.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $48 and your broker would charge a $100 maintenance fee, making your investment $52 ($100 – $48).  If RHT closes at any price above $123 on January 19, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 92% (1053% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 21, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 21, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Consider Paypal (PYPL) Following the Price Correction

Monday, December 18th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that profit if the momentum continues.  Actually, the stock can even decline a little bit to realize the full profit.  We use these ideas in one of the ten portfolios that we carry out for paying Terry’s Tips subscribers.  These ten actual portfolios have enjoyed an average gain of 118% (after paying commissions) so far in 2017.  It has been a very good year.

Terry

Consider Paypal (PYPL) Following the Price Correction

Paypal stock prices have risen steadily throughout the year and there have been several price target upgrades recently.  BMO Capital Markets has raised their price target to $85.00 and Nomura has increased their target to $82.00.   Paypal closed last week at $75.65, suggesting a potential upside of at least 8%.

PYPL has a more consistent and stable trend compared to other stocks on the IBD 50 list.  There was a recent price correction and buyers were seen lifting stock prices higher following a brief dip below the 50-period daily moving average and a rising trendline that dates back to June.  The rally from the support confluence has resulted in a bullish engulfing candle on a weekly chart.

PYPL Chart December 2017

PYPL Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Paypal, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next five weeks.

Buy To Open PYPL 19 Jan18 72.50 Puts (PYPL180119P72.5)
Sell To Open PYPL 19 Jan18 75.00 Puts (PYPL180119P75) for a credit of $0.92 (selling a vertical)This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading at $75.65.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $90 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $160 ($250 – $90).  If PYPL closes at any price above $75 on January 19, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 56% (642% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 14, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 14, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Essent Group (ESNT) Continue the Momentum?

Tuesday, December 5th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Will Essent Group (ESNT) Continue the Momentum?

Essent Group has received a lot of attention as of late and several analysts are expecting more upside in the stock price.  Here are two of them – Essent Group Earns Outperform Rating from Analysts at Wells Fargo & Company and Zacks: Analysts Anticipate Essent Group Ltd. Will Announce Earnings of $0.77 Per Share.

ESNT has recently seen a pickup of upside momentum after a consolidating mostly sideways from early in the year.  The stock broke to fresh record highs late last month and a correction in the second half of last week ended with a bullish engulfing candle on a daily chart, suggestion a continuation of the predominant bullish trend.

ESNT Chart December 2017

ESNT Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Essent Group, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next seven weeks.

Buy To Open ESNT 19Jan18 40 Puts (ESNT180119P040)
Sell To Open ESNT 19Jan18 45 Puts (ESNT180119P045) for a credit of $1.38 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when EA was trading near $45.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $136 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $364 ($500 – $136).  If ESNT closes at any price above $45 on January 18, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 37% (296% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 1, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 1, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Facebook (FB): Time to Buy The Dip?

Monday, November 20th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that profit if the momentum continues, at least a little.

The last 12 ideas which we have published here which have expired resulted in 11 gains averaging 39% (including the loss which was only 10% on one of the spreads).  If you had invested the same amount in each of the 12 ideas, you would have made 468% on that amount.  Of course, we can’t promise that future results will be this great.

Terry

Facebook (FB): Time to Buy The Dip?

Several analysts are expecting Facebook stock to continue higher, here are two of them – Facebook Inc Stock Can Still Deliver Value, Event at These Levels and Three stocks to buy on recent weakness.

FB broke above horizontal resistance from highs posted in July at $175 to hit fresh record highs at the start of the month.  The stock has since declined slightly in a low momentum correction.  The broken horizontal level now resides near a rising trendline that originates from a low printed at the end of 2016 to create a strong confluence of support to the downside.

FB Chart November 2017

FB Chart November 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Facebook, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance at least a little over the next six weeks.

Buy To Open FB 15Dec17 175 Puts (FB171215P175)
Sell To Open FB 15Dec17 180 Puts (FB171215P180) for a credit of $1.94 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FB was trading at $179.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $192 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $308 ($500 – $192).  If FB closes at any price above $180 on December 15, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 62% (711% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 16, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates November 16, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Making 36%

Making 36% — A Duffer's Guide to Breaking Par in the Market Every Year in Good Years and Bad

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Success Stories

I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years. Terry Allen's strategies have been the most consistent money makers for me. I used them during the 2008 melt-down, to earn over 50% annualized return, while all my neighbors were crying about their losses.

~ John Collins