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Posts Tagged ‘Bearish Options Strategies’

The Trade Desk (TTD) Has the Potential to Break to an All-Time High

Monday, May 25th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Several stocks have already broken to all-time highs and TTD looks poised to join this group. Check out the following two articles that both suggest that while TTD might be a bit expensive, it is a top pick among investors – The Trade Desk: Capturing A Revolutionary Trend and Investing in These 3 Top Stocks Could Double Your Money.

Technicals

TTD has shown strong upward momentum since the start of April. Dips have been shallow as buyers are quick to step in. Resistance near $324 has triggered a bit of pullback over the past few weeks which is to be expected considering it marks the previous all-time high. But the general lack of selling pressure from $324 is a sign of strength. Combined with the strong upward momentum as of late, a strong case can be made that the stock is headed to all-time highs. Technical support for the stock is seen at $280 which is considered significant as it acted as a major barrier over the summer last year.

TTD Chart May 2020 - Stock All Time High

TTD Chart May 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for TTD, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open TTD 26JUN20 305 Puts (TTD200626P305)
Sell To Open TTD 26JUN20 307.5 Puts (TTD200626P307.5) for a credit of $1.18 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when TTD was trading near $308.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $116.70 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $133.30 ($250 – $116.70).  If TTD closes at any price above $307.5 on June 26, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 88% (1004% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates May 23, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates May 23, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

American Tower (AMT) Looks Attractive as Investors Once Again Focus on 5G

Monday, May 18th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

5G was a hot topic among investors ahead of the Coronavirus escalation. Now that the markets are picking up momentum again, companies that stand to gain from this technology are in the spotlight. Take a look at the following article which discusses how AMT stands to gain – 5G Is Still Coming Despite Covid-19. These Are the Stocks Set to Benefit First. Also, have a look at this article – 5G Will Be a Game-Changer for American Tower. It mentions that the stock may see some near-term weakness and that investors should take advantage of that. Interestingly, the stock has shown exactly that as it has pulled back from recent highs since the article was written.

Technicals

Two things stand out in the recent price action for AMT. First, it was able to rally to fresh record highs in April. Although it was brief, it shows strength and provides some confirmation that the uptrend remains intact. The second appeal is that the stock is currently testing its 200-day moving average. This particular indicator was well-respected in late 2019 and managed to hold the stock higher on several tests. It’s one of the more commonly watched moving averages and technical traders will be well aware of its presence.

AMT Chart May 2020: 5G stock resurgance despite COVID

AMT Chart May 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for AMT, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least a little.

Buy To Open AMT 19JUN20 220 Puts (AMT200619P220)
Sell To Open AMT 19JUN20 230 Puts (AMT200619P230) for a credit of $3.48 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when AMT was trading near $230.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $346.70 and your broker would charge a $1000 maintenance fee, making your investment $653.30 ($1000 – $346.70).  If AMT closes at any price above $230 on June 19, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 53% (605% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates May 16, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates May 16, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

The Post-Earnings Dip in Netflix (NFLX) Offers a Buy Opportunity

Monday, May 4th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Several analysts have become increasingly bullish on Netflix after their most recent earnings report, here are two of them – 3 Reasons Why Netflix (NFLX) Is a Great Growth Stock and Netflix: A High-Growth Utility Despite Its High Valuation.

Technicals

Netflix is one of the few well-known companies that has broken to fresh record highs after the Coronavirus inspired drop in March. In the process of doing so, the stock has broken above an important price level at $385 that was a hurdle on three distinct attempts between late 2018 and March of this year. This technical breakout could lead to notable gains for the stock making the current pullback a buying opportunity. Buyers have already shown signs of stepping in at the 20-day moving average, further support comes at the breakout point of $385.

NFLX Chart May 2020 Record highs

NFLX Chart May 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for NFLX, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open NFLX 12JUN20 410 Puts (NFLX200612P410)
Sell To Open NFLX 12JUN20 415 Puts (NFLX200612P415) for a credit of $2.40 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when NFLX was trading near $415.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $238.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $261.30 ($500 – $238.70).  If NFLX closes at any price above $415 on June 12, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 91% (1038% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates May 2, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates May 2, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Barrick Gold (GOLD) Poised to Advance After Breaking to a Seven-Year High

Monday, April 27th, 2020

I invite you to check out our Track Record during this difficult economic time.  In the first quarter of this year the market fell by 23%.  The actual options portfolios carried out at Terry’s Tips increased by 46% during this quarter.  Quite a difference, something that we are quite proud of.   This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Several analysts believe Barrick Gold is a good investment, here are two of them – Barrick Gold (GOLD) Moves to Strong Buy: Rationale Behind the Upgrade and What Makes Barrick (GOLD) an Attractive Investment Option.

Technicals

Barrick Gold recently broke to a seven-year high after crossing above the 2016 high near $23. Similar breakouts are seen in related instruments such as the gold miners ETF (GDX). Further, GOLD is up more than 100% since the bottom in late March. The bottom correlates well with the S&P 500 yet the index has gained roughly 30% since then, in comparison. Precious metals and related stocks typically gain when equities are under pressure and the out performance during a bullish rally in stocks speaks to the strength and demand for precious metals at this time. Lastly, GOLD was added to the IBD Top 50 list this past week along with Kirkland Gold (KL), and Franco Nevada (FNV) was added last week. The sudden addition of these three stocks adds to the bullish case for this sector.

GOLD Chart April 2020

GOLD Chart April 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for GOLD, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open GOLD 05JUN20 24 Puts (GOLD200605P24)
Sell To Open GOLD 05JUN20 27 Puts (GOLD200605P27) for a credit of $1.70 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when GOLD was trading near $27.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $168.70 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $131.30 ($300 – $168.70).  If GOLD closes at any price above $27 on June 05, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 128% (1198% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates April 25, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates April 25, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Emergent (EBS) Rallies as CEO Discusses Plans of Coronavirus Vaccine Development

Monday, March 16th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

A few biotech companies are rallying as investors are encouraged by the prospect of a Coronavirus vaccine, and EBS is one of them. The following two articles discuss the matter in detail –  Emergent (EBS) Begins Development of Treatments for COVID-19 and Emergent BioSolutions CEO Talks Coronavirus Vaccine Development.

Technicals

EBS is an outperformer and posted its highest weekly close since 2018 in the past week. In the process, the stock has overtaken a major horizontal resistance level at $66 that proved to be a hurdle on a few attempts between 2019 and 2020. On a weekly chart, the stock has posted a strong upside candle that erases several weeks of declines which can be seen as a bullish signal. Further, the stock is in a clear uptrend since bottoming out in late August and the recent upward momentum suggests the bullish trend remains intact.

EBS Chart March 2020 Covid-19 response

EBS Chart March 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for EBS, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, at least a little bit.

Buy To Open EBS 17APR20 65 Puts (EBS200417P65)
Sell To Open EBS 17APR20 70 Puts (EBS200417P70) for a credit of $1.78 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when EBS was trading near $69.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $176.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $323.30 ($500 – $176.70).  If EBS closes at any price above $70 on April 17, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 55% (627% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates March 14, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates March 14, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

ServiceNow (NOW) Stock Breaks Out On Earnings Beat

Monday, February 3rd, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

ServiceNow stock advanced sharply higher in the past week after earnings came in better than expected. Here is what two analysts have to say about the recent earnings report – Service Now’s (NOW) Q4 Earnings Beat, Revenues Rise Y/Y and ServiceNow (NYSE:NOW) PT Raised to at Jefferies Financial Group.

Technicals

The earnings report in the past week has triggered a technical breakout in NOW which trades at all-time highs. The technical charts suggest the upward momentum will continue while the stock holds above the breakout point at $319. The upper bound of a rising trend channel is within proximity and this might trigger a near-term consolidation while an upward break of it would be indicative of rising upward momentum.

NOW Chart February 2020 upward momentum

NOW Chart February 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for NOW, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open NOW 13MAR20 330 Puts (NOW200213P330)
Sell To Open NOW 13MAR20 335 Puts (NOW200213P335) for a credit of $1.89 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when NOW was trading near $338.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $187.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $312.30 ($500 – $187.70).  If NOW closes at any price above $335 on March 13, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 60% (562% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates February 2, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates February 2, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

L3 Harris Technologies (LHX) Breaks to Record Highs, What’s Next?

Monday, January 20th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

LHX has received positive media coverage as of late. The IBD recently wrote an article naming the company its stock of the day and it has since rallied to trigger IBD’s buy point. Meanwhile, Zack’s has included the stock as part of their list of 4 defense stocks they think will do really well in 2020.

Technicals

Two notable technical developments are seen in the daily chart for L3 Harris Technologies. First, the stock has broken higher from a bullish flag pattern that had encompassed prices from September until late January. The second technical development that offers a bullish signal is the break above $215 resistance. This level is considered significant as it held the stock lower on multiple attempts in August and September. Further, the stock trades at an all-time high after breaking above the horizontal level.

LHX Chart January 2020 vertical options spread

LHX Chart January 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for LHX, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open LHX 21FEB20 210 Puts (LHX200221P210)
Sell To Open LHX 21FEB20 220 Puts (LHX200221P220) for a credit of $3.78 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when LHX was trading near $220.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $376.70 and your broker would charge a $1000 maintenance fee, making your investment $623.30 ($1000 – $376.70).  If LHX closes at any price above $220 on February 21, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 60% (684% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 18, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates January 18, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Salesforce.com (CRM) Shows Renewed Upward Momentum

Monday, January 6th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Salesforce.com is an outperformer and its stock is poised for an upside breakout. Take a look at the following two articles for details – Has salesforce.com (CRM) Outpaced Other Computer and Technology Stocks This Year? and Salesforce.com Is Ready for an Upside Breakout.

Technicals

CRM has broken higher from a large bullish flag pattern that was six months in the making. The stock broke higher in November, and in the past week, it posted a series of higher highs and higher lows above the flag pattern to confirm the trend reversal. The stock is holding within a bullish trend channel and strong support is found near the lower bound of the channel as the 20-day moving average resides near it to create a confluence.

Salesforce (CRM) Chart January 2020 showing upward momentum

CRM Chart January 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for CRM, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open CRM 07FEB20 162.5 Puts (CRM200207P162.5)
Sell To Open CRM 07FEB20 165 Puts (CRM200207P165) for a credit of $0.92 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when CRM was trading near $166.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $90.70 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $159.30 ($250 – $90.70).  If CRM closes at any price above $165 on February 7, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% (650% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 4, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates January 4, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Green Lights are Flashing for Merck & Co (MRK)

Monday, December 16th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Merck has been in the spotlight because of a recent acquisition and as several biotech’s have produced outsized gains as of late. The following two articles discuss the acquisition and how MRK is a better option compared to one of its peers – Merck: Adding To The Pipeline and Better Buy: Eli Lilly vs. Merck.

Technicals

The recent technical development in MRK is a significant one. The stock has broken above a horizontal resistance level at $87 that had held it lower on three notable attempts since the summer. Such a consolidation, followed by a break,, is often a precursor to a much larger move to come. With the stock still trading relatively close to its breakout point there is good value as technical traders usually look to defend breakout points if they were to be retested.

MRK Chart December 2019 broken resistence level

MRK Chart December 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for MRK, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least a little bit.

Buy To Open MRK 17JAN20 87.5 Puts (MRK200117P87.5)
Sell To Open MRK 17JAN20 90 Puts (MRK200117P90) for a credit of $0.92 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when MRK was trading near $89.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $90.70 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $159.30 ($250 – $90.70).  If MRK closes at any price above $90 on January 17, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% (650% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 14, 2019 via Terry's Tips

IBD Underlying Updates December 14, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Should You Buy the Dip in Adobe (ADBE)?

Monday, September 23rd, 2019

The following two articles certainly suggest Adobe is a good buy on the current dip – Adobe: Timely Buying Opportunity and Adobe: Take Advantage of Bearishness to Buy a High-Quality Stock Cheaper.

From a technical perspective, ADBE is testing a major support confluence. The confluence consists of a horizontal line at $275 as well as the 200-day moving average. The horizontal level was major resistance that held the stock lower in 2018 and it is now seen as support. There has been some evidence of the support area holding so far but a break above recent highs around $285 would provide further confirmation.

ADBE Chart September 2019 verticle options spread

ADBE Chart September 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for ADBE, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open ADBE 25OCT19 275 Puts (ADBE191025P275)
Sell To Open ADBE 25OCT19 277.5 Puts (ADBE191025P277.5) for a credit of $0.95 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when ADBE was trading near $278.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $92.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $157.50 ($250 – $92.50).  If ADBE closes at any price above $277.5 on October 25, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 59% (673% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates September 21, 2019 options trading ideas

IBD Underlying Updates September 21, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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Success Stories

I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years. Terry Allen's strategies have been the most consistent money makers for me. I used them during the 2008 melt-down, to earn over 50% annualized return, while all my neighbors were crying about their losses.

~ John Collins