Facebook (FB): Time to Buy The Dip?

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that profit if the momentum continues, at least a little.

The last 12 ideas which we have published here which have expired resulted in 11 gains averaging 39% (including the loss which was only 10% on one of the spreads).  If you had invested the same amount in each of the 12 ideas, you would have made 468% on that amount.  Of course, we can’t promise that future results will be this great.

Terry

Facebook (FB): Time to Buy The Dip?

Several analysts are expecting Facebook stock to continue higher, here are two of them – Facebook Inc Stock Can Still Deliver Value, Event at These Levels and Three stocks to buy on recent weakness.

FB broke above horizontal resistance from highs posted in July at $175 to hit fresh record highs at the start of the month.  The stock has since declined slightly in a low momentum correction.  The broken horizontal level now resides near a rising trendline that originates from a low printed at the end of 2016 to create a strong confluence of support to the downside.

FB Chart November 2017

FB Chart November 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Facebook, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance at least a little over the next six weeks.

Buy To Open FB 15Dec17 175 Puts (FB171215P175)
Sell To Open FB 15Dec17 180 Puts (FB171215P180) for a credit of $1.94 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FB was trading at $179.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $192 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $308 ($500 – $192).  If FB closes at any price above $180 on December 15, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 62% (711% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 16, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates November 16, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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