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Archive for the ‘10K Strategies’ Category

Micron Technology (MU) Retreats – Can it Hold Above the Psychological $50 Handle?

Monday, April 23rd, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Micron Technology (MU) Retreats – Can it Hold Above the Psychological $50 Handle?

Micron Technology has posted an impressive gain in the early year and several analysts are expecting more upside.  The following two articles provide the details behind this view – 3 Stocks That Could Double Your Money and Bull of the Day: Micron (MU).

MU has declined as of late and is now seen trading near an overwhelming confluence of support.  A rising trendline is in play that originates from this year’s low, and near it, the $50 price point comes into play.  The stock briefly traded below the psychological handle earlier this month but buyers quickly stepped in to lift it back above the horizontal level.  As well, the 20 and 50-day moving averages have converged close to the rising trendline.

Micron (MU) Chart April 2018

MU(micron) Chart April 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for MU, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open MU 18MAY18 48 Puts (MU180518P48)
Sell To Open MU 18MAY18 50 Puts (MU180518P50) for a credit of $0.68 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when MU was trading near $50.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $65.50 and your broker would charge a $200 maintenance fee, making your investment $134.50 ($200 – $65.50).  If MU closes at any price above $50.00 on May 18, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 49% (658% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates April 19, 2018 additions deletions

IBD Underlying Updates April 19, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Is Stamps.com (STMP) Ready to Resume Higher?

Sunday, April 1st, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Is Stamps.com (STMP) Ready to Resume Higher?

Zacks research recently wrote a compelling article outlining why STMP is poised for further gains.  As well, this analyst believes there is potential for about a 30% upside based on their recent price target revision.

From a technical perspective, STMP has been consolidating sideways following a gap up in late February that was inspired by a stellar earnings report.  The consolidation is an indication of strength when considering that the markets have been under pressure as of late.  Buyers have stepped in to keep the stock trading above the $190 price point and an upside hurdle is seen around $210 as it has held the stock lower on a few attempts this year.

STMP Chart March 2018

STMP Chart March 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Stamps.com, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open STMP 27APR18 192.5 Puts (STMP180427P192.5)
Sell To Open STMP 27APR18 195 Puts (STMP180427P195) for a credit of $0.98 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when STMP was trading near $201.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $95.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $154.50 ($250 – $95.50).  If STMP closes at any price above $195.00 on April 27, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 62% (778% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates March 29, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates March 29, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Nvidia (NVDA) Is on the Verge of a Big Breakout

Sunday, March 18th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.  The Terry’s Tips portfolio that trades these spreads in an actual account for subscribers to follow on their own or have trades made for them in their account through the free Auto-Trade service offered by thinkorswim has gained 79% so far in 2018.

Terry

Nvidia (NVDA) Is on the Verge of a Big Breakout

Several analysts have an optimistic outlook towards NVDA despite the stock trading near some important resistance.  Here are two of them – Things Are Going Right for NVIDIA and AMD and Semiconductor Stocks Soar to Highest Level in Decades Despite Deal Woes.

NVDA tested resistance at the big psychological $250 price point in the past week for the third time this year.  However, with momentum indicators showing no signs of a top and as triple tops are generally rare, the probabilities suggest sellers will give up defending the resistance level.  Retracements from the level have also become increasingly narrow since the initial approach in early February which provides a technical indication that buyers are regaining control.  When a big level such as the one we are seeing in Nvidia now breaks, it often accompanies some sharp upside follow through.

NVDA Chart March 2018 on the rise

NVDA Chart March 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Nvidia, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open NVDA 20APR18 245 Puts (NVDA180420P245)
Sell To Open NVDA 20APR18 250 Puts (NVDA180420P250) for a credit of $2.20 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when NVDA was trading near $250.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $218 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $282 ($500 – $218).  If NVDA closes at any price above $250.00 on April 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 77% (882% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates March 15, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates March 15, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Paypal (PYPL) Continue Its Upward Momentum?

Monday, March 12th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. The actual portfolio at Terry’s Tips where we place the trades we tell you about a couple of days later is now ahead 84% so far in 2018, and that includes our closing out the BABA spread last week at a slight loss when we could have made the max gain if we had waited three more days until expiration.  Even we make bad trades once in a while (although we still believe we made the prudent move – no one could have predicted that BABA would soar $11 in the last three days before expiration).

Terry

Will Paypal (PYPL) Continue Its Upward Momentum?

Several articles have recently been published on the positive outlook for PYPL.  Here are two of them – Paypal Holdings Stock Is Itching for a Breakout and BMO Capital Markets Boosts Paypal Price Target to $89.00.

As the above technical article has mentioned, the 20-period moving average on a weekly chart held Paypal stock higher following the earnings-inspired correction in early February.  PYPL has since climbed back above the same moving average on a daily chart, which has held declines in the month thus far.  The stock has also breached above the psychological $80 price point which had held prices lower in late February.

PYPL Chart March 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Paypal, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open PYPL 20APR18 77.5 Puts (PYPL180420P77.5)
Sell To Open PYPL 20APR18 80 Puts (PYPL180420P80) for a credit of $0.83 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading near $81.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $81 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $169 ($250 – $81).  If PYPL closes at any price above $80.00 on April 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 48% (449% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

TD Ameritrade (AMTD): A Stable and Consistent Player

Monday, March 5th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

TD Ameritrade (AMTD): A Stable and Consistent Player

Several analysts have a bullish outlook for TD Ameritrade, here are two of them: TD Ameritrade Rating Reiterated by Goldman Sachs Group and TD Ameritrade PT Raised to $61.00

AMTD faced some volatile price action in February as the global equity markets fell under pressure and broadly corrected lower.  In the past week, AMTD broke to a fresh 19 year high prior to pulling back.  The bullish break is suggesting the stock has resumed higher within its broader uptrend while the pullback offers an entry point against support from the 20-period daily moving average.

AMTD Chart March 2018

AMTD Chart March 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for TD Ameritrade, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open AMTD 6APR18 54.5 Puts (AMTD180406P54.5)
Sell To Open AMTD 6APR18 57.5 Puts (AMTD180406P57.5) for a credit of $0.98 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when AMTD was trading near $57.50.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $0.96 and your broker would charge a $210 maintenance fee, making your investment $110 ($206 – $96).  If AMTD closes at any price above $57.50 on April 6, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 52% (597% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates March 1, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates March 1, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Weibo Corp (WB) Surges On a Stellar Earnings Report, Can it Continue the Momentum?

Monday, February 26th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. At Terry’s Tips, we carry out actual portfolios for our subscribers to follow (either on their own or through Auto-Trade at their broker).  One of these portfolios places our Idea of the Week that we publish here.  So far in 2018, this portfolio has gained 69% and over half the portfolio value is now in cash since several of the put credit spreads that we sold earlier expired worthless over the past two weeks. I hope you enjoy these ideas that we pass along.

Terry

Weibo Corp (WB) Surges On a Stellar Earnings Report, Can it Continue the Momentum?

Several analysts have revised up their price targets after Weibo Corporation tripled Q4 earnings earlier this month.  Here are two of them – Weibo Corp (WB) PT Raised to $150 at Barclays and Weibo Corp (WB) PT Raised to $154 at Nomura; Momentum Remains Strong.

WB turned from trendline support earlier this month and was boosted to all-time highs following an impressive fourth-quarter earnings report.  Since breaking notable horizontal resistance at $132.21 the stock is seen consolidating sideways which is a common bullish continuation pattern after a sharp acceleration to the upside.

WB Chart February 2018

WB Chart February 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Weibo, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open WB 23Mar18 138 Puts (WB180323P138)
Sell To Open WB 23Mar18 139 Puts (WB180323P139) for a credit of $0.48 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when WB was trading near $139.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $0.46 and your broker would charge a $100 maintenance fee, making your investment $54 ($100 – $46).  If WB closes at any price above $139.00 on March 23, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 85% (1152% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates February 22, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates February 22, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Is Floor & Decor (FND) stock offering an entry point?

Monday, February 19th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. The actual portfolio we conduct at Terry’s Tips using these trades has gained 36% over the first six weeks of 2018 in spite of losing money on one of the spreads.  The average of all our portfolios has gained 23.2% while the market (SPY) is up only 2.2%.

Terry

Is Floor & Decor (FND) stock offering an entry point?

Several analysts expect further upside for FND stock, one analyst has recently revised up price targets to $50 and this article discusses recent favorable coverage in the media.

FND is seen bouncing from a  notable confluence of support near the $43 price point.  The area contains a horizontal level at $42.43 that was previously major resistance that is not seen as support.  Also, the lower line of a rising trend channel is found near the horizontal level.  The combination offers strong downside support and price action so far has shown buyers to protect the area.

FND Chart February 2018

FND Chart February 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Floor & Decor, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open FND 16Mar18 40 Puts (FND180316P40)
Sell To Open FND 16Mar18 45 Puts (FND180316P45) for a credit of $1.53 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FND was trading near $45.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $1.51 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $349 ($500 – $151).  If FND closes at any price above $45.00 on March 16, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 43% (632% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week

IBD Underlying Updates February 15, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates February 15, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Red Hat (RHT) is Set To Extend the Momentum

Monday, January 22nd, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum. We selected this same company six weeks ago, and the spread we placed at that time will have gained 60% by next Friday if the stock ends up above $123 at that time (it is about $126 right now).

Terry

Red Hat (RHT) is Set To Extend the Momentum

Red hat stock saw some strong gains in 2017 and several analysts believe there is further upside ahead including BMO Capital Markets who have raised their targets to $142.00 and Wells Fargo & Co who are looking for a rise to $144.00.

From a technical perspective, RHT has been consolidating sideways for a few months.  A confluence of support from a rising trendline dating back to a low posted in June and a horizontal level at $120.00 recently triggered a turn higher which has resulted in the stock price climbing back above its 50-period daily moving average.  The $130 handle may present a hurdle but a break of the level is likely to accompany a renewal of upside momentum.

 

RHT Chart January 2018

RHT Chart January 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Red Hat, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next four weeks.

Buy To Open RHT 16Feb18 120 Puts (RHT180216P120)
Sell To Open RHT 16Feb18 125 Puts (RHT180216P125) for a credit of $1.83 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when RHT was trading near $126.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $181 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $319 ($500 – $181).  If RHT closes at any price above $125 on February 16, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% (647% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 18, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates January 18, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Wingstop (WING) Rallies on Earnings Forecast, Can It Continue the Momentum?

Tuesday, January 16th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.  The Terry’s Tips actual portfolio that executes these trades has gained 26% in the first two weeks of 2018 and is our third-best performing portfolio so far in this new year.

Terry

Wingstop (WING) Rallies on Earnings Forecast, Can It Continue the Momentum?

Wingstop shares have already made an impressive gain in the first few weeks of the new year and several analysts believe there is further upside ahead.  CNBC has published an article outlining the factors driving the recent rally while Wingstop CEO Charlie Morrison shares his outlook for growth in a video interview with Jim Cramer.

Wingstop stock closed at a record high in the past week after taking out notable horizontal resistance around $43 which was also last year’s high.  The horizontal level is now seen as downside support and several retests of the level following the technical break have been met with buyers.

WING Chart January 2018

WING Chart January 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Wingstop, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next five weeks.

Buy To Open WING 16Feb18 40 Puts (WING180216P40)
Sell To Open WING 16Feb18 45 Puts (WING180216P45) for a credit of $1.28 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when WING was trading near $45.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $126 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $374 ($500 – $126).  If WING closes at any price above $45 on February 18, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 34% (384% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 11, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates January 11, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Essent Group (ESNT) Continue the Momentum?

Tuesday, December 5th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Will Essent Group (ESNT) Continue the Momentum?

Essent Group has received a lot of attention as of late and several analysts are expecting more upside in the stock price.  Here are two of them – Essent Group Earns Outperform Rating from Analysts at Wells Fargo & Company and Zacks: Analysts Anticipate Essent Group Ltd. Will Announce Earnings of $0.77 Per Share.

ESNT has recently seen a pickup of upside momentum after a consolidating mostly sideways from early in the year.  The stock broke to fresh record highs late last month and a correction in the second half of last week ended with a bullish engulfing candle on a daily chart, suggestion a continuation of the predominant bullish trend.

ESNT Chart December 2017

ESNT Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Essent Group, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next seven weeks.

Buy To Open ESNT 19Jan18 40 Puts (ESNT180119P040)
Sell To Open ESNT 19Jan18 45 Puts (ESNT180119P045) for a credit of $1.38 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when EA was trading near $45.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $136 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $364 ($500 – $136).  If ESNT closes at any price above $45 on January 18, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 37% (296% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 1, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 1, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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Success Stories

I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years. Terry Allen's strategies have been the most consistent money makers for me. I used them during the 2008 melt-down, to earn over 50% annualized return, while all my neighbors were crying about their losses.

~ John Collins