Barrick Gold (GOLD) Poised to Advance After Breaking to a Seven-Year High

I invite you to check out our Track Record during this difficult economic time.  In the first quarter of this year the market fell by 23%.  The actual options portfolios carried out at Terry’s Tips increased by 46% during this quarter.  Quite a difference, something that we are quite proud of.   This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Several analysts believe Barrick Gold is a good investment, here are two of them – Barrick Gold (GOLD) Moves to Strong Buy: Rationale Behind the Upgrade and What Makes Barrick (GOLD) an Attractive Investment Option.

Technicals

Barrick Gold recently broke to a seven-year high after crossing above the 2016 high near $23. Similar breakouts are seen in related instruments such as the gold miners ETF (GDX). Further, GOLD is up more than 100% since the bottom in late March. The bottom correlates well with the S&P 500 yet the index has gained roughly 30% since then, in comparison. Precious metals and related stocks typically gain when equities are under pressure and the out performance during a bullish rally in stocks speaks to the strength and demand for precious metals at this time. Lastly, GOLD was added to the IBD Top 50 list this past week along with Kirkland Gold (KL), and Franco Nevada (FNV) was added last week. The sudden addition of these three stocks adds to the bullish case for this sector.

GOLD Chart April 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for GOLD, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open GOLD 05JUN20 24 Puts (GOLD200605P24)
Sell To Open GOLD 05JUN20 27 Puts (GOLD200605P27) for a credit of $1.70 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when GOLD was trading near $27.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $168.70 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $131.30 ($300 – $168.70).  If GOLD closes at any price above $27 on June 05, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 128% (1198% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates April 25, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry