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Archive for May, 2020

The Trade Desk (TTD) Has the Potential to Break to an All-Time High

Monday, May 25th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Several stocks have already broken to all-time highs and TTD looks poised to join this group. Check out the following two articles that both suggest that while TTD might be a bit expensive, it is a top pick among investors – The Trade Desk: Capturing A Revolutionary Trend and Investing in These 3 Top Stocks Could Double Your Money.

Technicals

TTD has shown strong upward momentum since the start of April. Dips have been shallow as buyers are quick to step in. Resistance near $324 has triggered a bit of pullback over the past few weeks which is to be expected considering it marks the previous all-time high. But the general lack of selling pressure from $324 is a sign of strength. Combined with the strong upward momentum as of late, a strong case can be made that the stock is headed to all-time highs. Technical support for the stock is seen at $280 which is considered significant as it acted as a major barrier over the summer last year.

TTD Chart May 2020 - Stock All Time High

TTD Chart May 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for TTD, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open TTD 26JUN20 305 Puts (TTD200626P305)
Sell To Open TTD 26JUN20 307.5 Puts (TTD200626P307.5) for a credit of $1.18 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when TTD was trading near $308.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $116.70 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $133.30 ($250 – $116.70).  If TTD closes at any price above $307.5 on June 26, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 88% (1004% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates May 23, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates May 23, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

American Tower (AMT) Looks Attractive as Investors Once Again Focus on 5G

Monday, May 18th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

5G was a hot topic among investors ahead of the Coronavirus escalation. Now that the markets are picking up momentum again, companies that stand to gain from this technology are in the spotlight. Take a look at the following article which discusses how AMT stands to gain – 5G Is Still Coming Despite Covid-19. These Are the Stocks Set to Benefit First. Also, have a look at this article – 5G Will Be a Game-Changer for American Tower. It mentions that the stock may see some near-term weakness and that investors should take advantage of that. Interestingly, the stock has shown exactly that as it has pulled back from recent highs since the article was written.

Technicals

Two things stand out in the recent price action for AMT. First, it was able to rally to fresh record highs in April. Although it was brief, it shows strength and provides some confirmation that the uptrend remains intact. The second appeal is that the stock is currently testing its 200-day moving average. This particular indicator was well-respected in late 2019 and managed to hold the stock higher on several tests. It’s one of the more commonly watched moving averages and technical traders will be well aware of its presence.

AMT Chart May 2020: 5G stock resurgance despite COVID

AMT Chart May 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for AMT, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least a little.

Buy To Open AMT 19JUN20 220 Puts (AMT200619P220)
Sell To Open AMT 19JUN20 230 Puts (AMT200619P230) for a credit of $3.48 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when AMT was trading near $230.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $346.70 and your broker would charge a $1000 maintenance fee, making your investment $653.30 ($1000 – $346.70).  If AMT closes at any price above $230 on June 19, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 53% (605% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates May 16, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates May 16, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Solar Edge (SEDG) is Well Positioned to Break to a Record High

Monday, May 11th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Solar Edge is up 75% from its lows in March and several analysts think the stock can continue higher. Check out the following articles which discuss the appeal – 5 Under-the-Radar Energy Stocks to Buy Now and Why Shares of SolarEdge Technologies Popped 43.3% in April.

Technicals

SEDG is showing strong upward momentum over the last month. There was a dip in the past week following earnings but the stock has recovered a bulk of the loss which is often a sign of strength. Since climbing above the 20-day moving average, buyers have been quick to step in on dips well ahead of the moving average. A horizontal level at $111 was a major hurdle early in the year and the weekly close above it further builds towards a bullish case.

SEDG Chart May 2020 options ideas

SEDG Chart May 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for SEDG, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open SEDG 19JUN20 110 Puts (SEDG200619P110)
Sell To Open SEDG 19JUN20 115 Puts (SEDG200619P115) for a credit of $1.58 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when SEDG was trading near $118.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $156.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $343.30 ($500 – $156.70).  If SEDG closes at any price above $115 on June 19, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 46% (431% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates May 9, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates May 9, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

The Post-Earnings Dip in Netflix (NFLX) Offers a Buy Opportunity

Monday, May 4th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Several analysts have become increasingly bullish on Netflix after their most recent earnings report, here are two of them – 3 Reasons Why Netflix (NFLX) Is a Great Growth Stock and Netflix: A High-Growth Utility Despite Its High Valuation.

Technicals

Netflix is one of the few well-known companies that has broken to fresh record highs after the Coronavirus inspired drop in March. In the process of doing so, the stock has broken above an important price level at $385 that was a hurdle on three distinct attempts between late 2018 and March of this year. This technical breakout could lead to notable gains for the stock making the current pullback a buying opportunity. Buyers have already shown signs of stepping in at the 20-day moving average, further support comes at the breakout point of $385.

NFLX Chart May 2020 Record highs

NFLX Chart May 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for NFLX, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open NFLX 12JUN20 410 Puts (NFLX200612P410)
Sell To Open NFLX 12JUN20 415 Puts (NFLX200612P415) for a credit of $2.40 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when NFLX was trading near $415.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $238.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $261.30 ($500 – $238.70).  If NFLX closes at any price above $415 on June 12, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 91% (1038% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates May 2, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates May 2, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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Success Stories

I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years. Terry Allen's strategies have been the most consistent money makers for me. I used them during the 2008 melt-down, to earn over 50% annualized return, while all my neighbors were crying about their losses.

~ John Collins