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Archive for June, 2019

Can Lululemon Athletica (LULU) Continue the Earnings Driven Momentum?

Monday, June 24th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Can Lululemon Athletica (LULU) Continue the Earnings Driven Momentum?

LULU broke to record highs after their recent earnings announcement. Several analysts think the stock will continue to climb, here are two of them – UBS Group Raises Lululemon Athletica Price Target to $186 and Best Stocks for 2019: Lululemon Stock Looks Ready for More Growth.

From a technical perspective, LULU looks well supported. The first level is seen near $178 which marks a prior resistance level that held it lower in April and early May. Further support comes from the 50-day moving average, found just below the horizontal level. LULU has been trading within a rising trend channel since late December. The lower bound of this channel offers further support, although at this time it doesn’t seem likely that the stock will try and retest it.

LULU Chart June 2019 Vertical Spread

LULU Chart June 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for LULU, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open LULU 26JUL19 177.5 Puts (LULU190726P177.5)
Sell To Open LULU 26JUL19 180 Puts (LULU190726P180) for a credit of $0.98 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when LULU was trading near $182.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $95.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $154.50 ($250 – $95.50).  If LULU closes at any price above $180 on July 26, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 62% (707% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates June 22, 2019 Terry's Tips

IBD Underlying Updates June 22, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

The Trade Desk (TTD) Has Doubled in Value YTD

Monday, June 17th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

The Trade Desk (TTD) Has Doubled in Value YTD

TTD has had an impressing rally in the year thus far, and these two analysts think it can continue the upward moment – Better Than an Ultra-Growth Stock? – The Trade Desk and The Trade Desk Could be the Investment of a Lifetime

The stock price just broke to record highs in the past week after breaking above a prior top set in early May. So far, the breakout point at $232.70 has held the upside. In the event the stock falls through, further support is at the 20-day moving average. What makes this stock so attractive is the upward momentum as well as it outperformance to the rest of the market. Looking at the gain for June alone, the stock is up just over 22% versus about a 5% gain for SPY.

TTD Chart June 2019 Vertical Spread

TTD Chart June 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for TTD, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, at least a little bit.

Buy To Open TTD 02AUG19 240 Puts (TTD190802P240)
Sell To Open TTD 02AUG19 245 Puts (TTD190802P245) for a credit of $2.28 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when TTD was trading near $245.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $225.50 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $274.50 ($500 – $225.50).  If TTD closes at any price above $245 on August 02, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 82% (935% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates June 15, 2019 Terry's Tips

IBD Underlying Updates June 15, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Has the Tide Turned for Five Below Inc (FIVE)?

Sunday, June 9th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Has the Tide Turned for Five Below Inc (FIVE)?

Several analysts are looking for more upside in FIVE, here are two of them – Hedge Funds Have Never Been This Bullish On Five Below Inc and I’m Sorry, But the Five Below Stock Selloff Is Overdone.

FIVE fell under a little bit of pressure after reporting earnings in the past week. However, the stock recovered on Friday, resulting in a bullish engulfing candle. This pattern often signals a reversal but what makes it even more significant is that the pattern occurred following a test of important support. Specifically, from the 200-day moving average and the lower bound of a trend channel. A second reversal candlestick is seen on a weekly chart that makes an even strong case that FIVE might turn higher from here.

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for FIVE, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open FIVE 12JUL19 124 Puts (FIVE190712P124)
Sell To Open FIVE 12JUL19 127 Puts (FIVE190712P127) for a credit of $1.33 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FIVE was trading near $127.50.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $130.50 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $169.50 ($300 – $130.50).  If FIVE closes at any price above $127 on July 12, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 77% (878% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Amazon (AMZN) Is Testing a Major Technical Support Area, Is It Time to Buy?

Tuesday, June 4th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Amazon (AMZN) Is Testing a Major Technical Support Area, Is It Time to Buy?

Some analysts did a double take this past week when a Piper Jaffray analyst said AMZN could reach $3000. Granted, his views are over a few years, but the article stands to spark some buying interest.  Take a look at the following article for full details – Can Amazon Really Reach $3000? You Bet.  Also take a look at this article which discusses an upside target from another analyst, and contains a video of Yahoo staff discussing the Piper Jaffray call – Amazon Stock Poised for Continued Growth; Here’s Why.

As indicated by the headline, Amazon is seen testing a significant support area.  Specifically, there are three items that are lined up to create a confluence – The 100-day moving average, 200-day moving average, and a horizontal level.  It’s quite rare to have all three lined up pretty much perfectly at the same price point and probabilities favor that buyers will be there to defend it.

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for AMZN, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open AMZN 5JUL19 1770 Puts (AMZN190705P1770)
Sell To Open AMZN 5JUL19 1775 Puts (AMZN190705P1775) for a credit of $2.25 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when AMZN was trading near $1775.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $222.50 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $277.50 ($500 – $222.50).  If AMZN closes at any price above $1775 on July 5, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 80% (913% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years. Terry Allen's strategies have been the most consistent money makers for me. I used them during the 2008 melt-down, to earn over 50% annualized return, while all my neighbors were crying about their losses.

~ John Collins