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Archive for December, 2017

Red Hat (RHT) Dips Following Earnings, Is it A Buy?

Tuesday, December 26th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

We wish you the best of the holiday season…

Terry

Red Hat (RHT) Dips Following Earnings, Is it A Buy?

Red Hat stock pulled back in the past week after crushing third-quarter earnings targets.  Several analysts revised up their price targets both ahead and after the earnings report.  Here are two of them – Red Hat (RHT) PT Raised to $145 at Barclays, Sees a Strong Q3 Report Ahead and Red Hat (RHT) PT Raised to $150 at Deuthsche Bank on 3Q Beat & Raised FY Guidance.

RHT has seen a strong rally throughout the year and last week’s pullback has not altered the positive technical outlook.  A rising trendline dating back to a low posted in August remains intact and held the stock higher in the past week.  Horizontal support at the psychological $120.00 handle was found near the trendline line to add confluence.  In the absence of a bearish catalyst, the technicals suggests the stock can continue its uptrend from here.

RHT Chart December 2017

RHT Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Red Hat, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, at least a little bit, over the next four weeks.

Buy To Open RHT 19 Jan 18 $122 Puts (RHT180119P122)
Sell To Open RHT 19 Jan 18 $123 Puts (RHT180119P123) for a credit of $0.50 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when RHT was trading near $123.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $48 and your broker would charge a $100 maintenance fee, making your investment $52 ($100 – $48).  If RHT closes at any price above $123 on January 19, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 92% (1053% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 21, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 21, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Consider Paypal (PYPL) Following the Price Correction

Monday, December 18th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that profit if the momentum continues.  Actually, the stock can even decline a little bit to realize the full profit.  We use these ideas in one of the ten portfolios that we carry out for paying Terry’s Tips subscribers.  These ten actual portfolios have enjoyed an average gain of 118% (after paying commissions) so far in 2017.  It has been a very good year.

Terry

Consider Paypal (PYPL) Following the Price Correction

Paypal stock prices have risen steadily throughout the year and there have been several price target upgrades recently.  BMO Capital Markets has raised their price target to $85.00 and Nomura has increased their target to $82.00.   Paypal closed last week at $75.65, suggesting a potential upside of at least 8%.

PYPL has a more consistent and stable trend compared to other stocks on the IBD 50 list.  There was a recent price correction and buyers were seen lifting stock prices higher following a brief dip below the 50-period daily moving average and a rising trendline that dates back to June.  The rally from the support confluence has resulted in a bullish engulfing candle on a weekly chart.

PYPL Chart December 2017

PYPL Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Paypal, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next five weeks.

Buy To Open PYPL 19 Jan18 72.50 Puts (PYPL180119P72.5)
Sell To Open PYPL 19 Jan18 75.00 Puts (PYPL180119P75) for a credit of $0.92 (selling a vertical)This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading at $75.65.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $90 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $160 ($250 – $90).  If PYPL closes at any price above $75 on January 19, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 56% (642% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 14, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 14, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) Is Set To Grow

Monday, December 11th, 2017

This week we are featuring another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum. The 10 actual option portfolios carried out by Terry’s Tips for its paying subscribers have gained an average of 108% for 2017.  This is down a little from a few weeks ago because many of the tech stocks that we trade options on have fallen over the past few weeks.  We are still pleased with the composite results, however.  (One of our newest portfolios adds the Trading Idea of the Week that we send out to you each week to its holdings).

Terry

Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) Is Set To Grow

Investors are optimistic about the outlook for FND after a recent Moody’s upgrade and an upgrade from Zacks Investment Research to a buy rating with a $46.00 price target.

The technical outlook for FND is also positive as the stock broke above a significant horizontal level at $42.43 in the past week.  As a result, the stock printed the highest weekly close to date.  The technical break signals the potential for a breakout and dips are likely to be bought ahead of the horizontal level.

FND Chart December 2017

FND Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Floor & Décor Holdings, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance at least a little over the next six weeks.

Buy To Open FND 19Jan18 40 Puts (FND180118P40)
Sell To Open FND 19Jan18 45 Puts (FND180118P45) for a credit of $1.58 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FND was trading near $45.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $156 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $344 ($500 – $156).  If FND closes at any price above $45 on January 19, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 45% (414% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 7, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 7, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Essent Group (ESNT) Continue the Momentum?

Tuesday, December 5th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Will Essent Group (ESNT) Continue the Momentum?

Essent Group has received a lot of attention as of late and several analysts are expecting more upside in the stock price.  Here are two of them – Essent Group Earns Outperform Rating from Analysts at Wells Fargo & Company and Zacks: Analysts Anticipate Essent Group Ltd. Will Announce Earnings of $0.77 Per Share.

ESNT has recently seen a pickup of upside momentum after a consolidating mostly sideways from early in the year.  The stock broke to fresh record highs late last month and a correction in the second half of last week ended with a bullish engulfing candle on a daily chart, suggestion a continuation of the predominant bullish trend.

ESNT Chart December 2017

ESNT Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Essent Group, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next seven weeks.

Buy To Open ESNT 19Jan18 40 Puts (ESNT180119P040)
Sell To Open ESNT 19Jan18 45 Puts (ESNT180119P045) for a credit of $1.38 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when EA was trading near $45.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $136 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $364 ($500 – $136).  If ESNT closes at any price above $45 on January 18, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 37% (296% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 1, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 1, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years. Terry Allen's strategies have been the most consistent money makers for me. I used them during the 2008 melt-down, to earn over 50% annualized return, while all my neighbors were crying about their losses.

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