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Disadvantages of Option Trading

1.    Taxes.  Except in very rare circumstances, all gains are taxed as short-term capital gains.  This is essentially the same as ordinary income.  The rates are as high as your individual personal income tax rates. Because of this tax situation, we encourage subscribers to carry out option strategies in an IRA or other tax-deferred account, but this is not possible for everyone.  (Maybe you have some capital loss carry-forwards that you can use to offset the short-term capital gains made in your option trading).

2.    Commissions.  Compared to stock investing, commission rates for options, particularly for the Weekly options, are horrendously high.  It is not uncommon for commissions for a year to exceed 30% of the amount you have invested.   Be wary of any newsletter that does not include commissions in their results – they are misleading you big time.

3.    Wide Fluctuations in Portfolio Value.   Options are leveraged instruments.  Portfolio values typically experience wide swings in value in both directions.

The most popular portfolio at Terry’s Tips (they call it the Weekly Mesa) gained over 100% (after commissions) in the last 4 months of 2010.  The underlying stock for the Weekly Mesa is the S&P 500 tracking stock, SPY, one of the most stable of all indexes.  Yet their weekly results included a loss of 31.3% in the last week of November (they have added an insurance tactic to make that kind of loss highly unlikely in the future, by the way).  Three times, their weekly gains were above 20%.

Many people do not have the stomach for such volatility, just as some people are more concerned with the commissions they pay than they are with the bottom line results (both groups of people probably should not be trading options).

4.    Uncertainty of Gains. In carrying out option strategies, most prudent investors depend on risk profile graphs which show the expected gains or losses at the next options expiration at the various possible prices for the underlying.  These graphs are particularly important to check out when placing initial positions, and it is also wise to consult them frequently during the week as well. 

Oftentimes, when the options expire, the expected gains do not materialize.  The reason is usually because option prices (implied volatilities, VIX, - for those of you who are more familiar with how options work) fall.   (The risk profile graph software assumes that implied volatilities will remain unchanged.).   Of course, there are many weeks when VIX rises and you might do better than the risk profile graph had projected.   But the bottom line is that there are times when the stock does exactly as you had hoped  and you still don’t make the gains you originally expected.

With all these negatives, is option investing worth the bother?  We think it is.  Where else is the chance of 100% annual gains a realistic possibility?  We believe that at least a small portion of many people’s investment portfolio should be in something that at least has the possibility of making extraordinary returns.

With CD’s and bonds yielding ridiculously low returns (and the stock market not really showing any gains for the past 4 years), the options alternative has become more attractive for many investors, in spite of all the problems we have outlined above.

Terry's Tips Stock Options Trading Blog

May 24, 2013

Updates on ANF and CRM PEA Plays

Updates on ANF and CRM PEA Plays

Here are the trades we placed for ANF this week:

May 21, 2013 Trade Alert - PEA Picker Portfolio – LIMIT ORDERS

I wrote a Seeking Alpha article about this trade if you care to see it - How To Play The Abercrombie & Fitch May Earni... In the article I suggested buying June options for the long side but have since noticed that the July options offer more value and have a 6-point lower IV than the June options. I have also expanded the break-even range to about 15% on the downside and 8% on the upside at the cost of making a very small gain if the stock falls by just a couple of dollars. I have8 assumed that

May 21, 2013

CRM Earnings Trade In PEA Picker Portfolio

Today we placed the following orders in the PEA Picker portfolio at Terry’s Tips (this is the portfolio that has enjoyed eight consecutive gaining plays without a loss).

May 21, 2013 Trade Alert - PEA Picker Portfolio – LIMIT ORDER

I wrote a Seeking Alpha article about this play if you are interested - How To Play The Salesforce.com Earnings Annou...

In this article I suggested buying June options for the long side but I have since noticed that the July options are less than . . .

May 17, 2013

Eight Consecutive Successful Earnings Plays and What We Learned

Note: There is a lot of valuable information in this report for anyone who trades stock options. It will take you about 15 minutes to read, but that investment in your time could be worth thousands of dollars to you down the line. I hope you will read it thoroughly all the way to the end.

On April’s Fools Day in 2013, we opened a new $5000 portfolio at Terry’s Tips. We thought that might be a lucky day to start. For several months we had been studying what happens just before and after a company announces their quarterly earnings, and this portfolio was designed to put our observations to work.

The biggest thing we discovered in our analysis was that . . .

Making 36%

Making 36% – A Duffer's Guide to Breaking Par in the Market Every Year in Good Years and Bad

This book may not improve your golf game, but it might change your financial situation so that you will have more time for the greens and fairways (and sometimes the woods).

Learn why Dr. Allen believes that the 10K Strategy is less risky than owning stocks or mutual funds, and why it is especially appropriate for your IRA.

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