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Disadvantages of Option Trading

1.    Taxes.  Except in very rare circumstances, all gains are taxed as short-term capital gains.  This is essentially the same as ordinary income.  The rates are as high as your individual personal income tax rates. Because of this tax situation, we encourage subscribers to carry out option strategies in an IRA or other tax-deferred account, but this is not possible for everyone.  (Maybe you have some capital loss carry-forwards that you can use to offset the short-term capital gains made in your option trading).

2.    Commissions.  Compared to stock investing, commission rates for options, particularly for the Weekly options, are horrendously high.  It is not uncommon for commissions for a year to exceed 30% of the amount you have invested.   Be wary of any newsletter that does not include commissions in their results – they are misleading you big time.

3.    Wide Fluctuations in Portfolio Value.   Options are leveraged instruments.  Portfolio values typically experience wide swings in value in both directions.

The most popular portfolio at Terry’s Tips (they call it the Weekly Mesa) gained over 100% (after commissions) in the last 4 months of 2010.  The underlying stock for the Weekly Mesa is the S&P 500 tracking stock, SPY, one of the most stable of all indexes.  Yet their weekly results included a loss of 31.3% in the last week of November (they have added an insurance tactic to make that kind of loss highly unlikely in the future, by the way).  Three times, their weekly gains were above 20%.

Many people do not have the stomach for such volatility, just as some people are more concerned with the commissions they pay than they are with the bottom line results (both groups of people probably should not be trading options).

4.    Uncertainty of Gains. In carrying out option strategies, most prudent investors depend on risk profile graphs which show the expected gains or losses at the next options expiration at the various possible prices for the underlying.  These graphs are particularly important to check out when placing initial positions, and it is also wise to consult them frequently during the week as well. 

Oftentimes, when the options expire, the expected gains do not materialize.  The reason is usually because option prices (implied volatilities, VIX, - for those of you who are more familiar with how options work) fall.   (The risk profile graph software assumes that implied volatilities will remain unchanged.).   Of course, there are many weeks when VIX rises and you might do better than the risk profile graph had projected.   But the bottom line is that there are times when the stock does exactly as you had hoped  and you still don’t make the gains you originally expected.

With all these negatives, is option investing worth the bother?  We think it is.  Where else is the chance of 100% annual gains a realistic possibility?  We believe that at least a small portion of many people’s investment portfolio should be in something that at least has the possibility of making extraordinary returns.

With CD’s and bonds yielding ridiculously low returns (and the stock market not really showing any gains for the past 4 years), the options alternative has become more attractive for many investors, in spite of all the problems we have outlined above.

Terry's Tips Stock Options Trading Blog

February 21, 2012

Interesting AAPL Stock Options Strategy

I like Apple. I think the stock will at least hold steady, or might go up over the next month. If it does, I expect to double my money with an options strategy I have just set up. Today I would like to share that strategy with you in a short video. Check it out here - http://youtu.be/6J9KPuimyXk

I hope you will enjoy it.

Interesting AAPL Stock Options Strategy

In spite of the big run-up in the price of AAPL since it announced blow-out earnings that exceeded all expectations, I think the stock has more room to go up. It is still . . .

February 13, 2012

Making Adjustments to the Shoot Strategy

Greetings!

Last week I shared the actual positions we held in what we call our Shoot Strategy portfolio (which uses AAPL as the underlying). Last week was a great one for AAPL. The stock rose 7.3%. Our portfolio gained 22.1% after commissions, or more than 3 times the amount the stock went up.

One of the potential problems of the options portfolio is that the stock goes up too fast. When that appears to be happening, as it did in Apple last week, adjustments need to be made. We will talk a little about those adjustments this week.

Terry

Making Adjustments to the Shoot Strategy

First, let’s repeat the table of the actual positions . . .

February 6, 2012

Why Owning Options Beats Owning Stock

Two weeks ago, Apple announced blow-out earnings that pleased just about everyone who follows the stock. Since that time, AAPL has soared by 9.2%. Owners of the stock are celebrating.

Meanwhile, the actual options portfolio we carry out at Terry’s Tips increased in value by 42.5% over this same time period. Options outperformed the stock by more than 4 times.

Today I will share with you the actual option positions we hold in this portfolio, and show the potential gains (or losses) that lie ahead. This is an important report that I hope you will read carefully

Why Owning Options Beats Owning Stock

In April, 2010, we set up a $5000 portfolio to demonstrate that a well-designed options portfolio could substantially outperform the outright purchase of stock. We selected AAPL as the underlying, a company we thought had a good future.

We never imagined that future would be quite as spectacular as it has been so far. The stock has skyrocketed by 72% since then. Meanwhile, our options portfolio has gone up by 263%. Our subscribers who mirrored our portfolio from the very beginning have gained over 3.5 times as much as they would have if they had merely purchased shares of AAPL.

We withdrew $3000 of the original $5000 so new subscribers could mirror the portfolio with a smaller investment. The original investment, now $2000, as grown to its present value of $12,141 in 21 months. Not bad by any standards, if we do say so ourselves.

How did we do it? Quite simply, we bought call options with a few months of remaining life and sold call options with only one month of remaining life against these positions. The shorter-term calls we sold to someone else decay at a faster rate than the longer-term calls that we own. This gives us a major advantage over anyone who has just gone out and bought shares of stock.

In options terminology, we created a portfolio that maximized net delta (the equivalent number of shares of stock we own) as long as there was positive theta (which means that the portfolio would make a small gain every day that the stock remained absolutely flat).

Here are the actual . . .

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Success Stories

I started with your service about 7 months ago using three different portfolios worth $70k. Those changed of course over time, but today I am using 5 of the portfolios and the value just crossed the $100k mark (actually $101k) this morning. I consider this quite remarkable considering I have been investing for the last 25 years and have never seen consistent gains as you have shown me.

~ Mark

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