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Posts Tagged ‘Earnings Option Strategy’

Consider Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) Following the Technical Breakout

Sunday, January 20th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Consider Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) Following the Technical Breakout

Several analysts expect more upside from CDNS, here are two of them – Disney and 4 Other Stock Picks from a Parnassus Fund Manager and Why Should You Retain Cadence Stock in Your Portfolio?

CDNS is seeng breaking higher from a triangle pattern which signals a continuation of the broader uptrend, often with a pick up in upside momentum.  In addition to the technical break, the stock is one of few on the IBD Top 50 List, and in the broader markets for that matter, that is on the verge of breaking to record highs.

CDNS Chart January 2019

CDNS Chart January 2019

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for CDNS, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open CDNS 15FEB19 43 Puts (CDNS190215P43)
Sell To Open CDNS 15FEB19 46 Puts (CDNS190215P46) for a credit of $0.65 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when CDNS was trading near $47.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $62.50 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $237.50 ($300 – $62.50).  If CDNS closes at any price above $46 on February 15, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 26% (380% annualized).  Note:  Options on CDNS are fairly illiquid, with large bid-ask spreads.  It would be especially important to place a limit order rather than a market order here.

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 17, 2019

IBD Underlying Updates January 17, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Growth Prospects Keep Mastercard (MA) Bid?

Monday, December 17th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Will Growth Prospects Keep Mastercard (MA) Bid?

Mastercard has had some positive news coverage as of late, take a look at these two articles – Visa & Mastercard: Strong Growth and Dividend Hike Opportunities? And IBD Stock Of The Day Master Shows Strength – And Gives This Market Warning.

As outlined by one of the above articles, MA is currently facing it’s 200-Day moving average.  Althought the article points out that the stock technically trades below it, there does not seem to be enough evidence of a clear break, or that bears have taken control.  The stock has held above a horizontal level found near $193 found close to the moving average that has acted as both support and resistance on several occasions since May.  Dips below this confluence area of support in the recent past have been short-lived, as seen on a monthly chart, where the stock has managed to hold above $197 on a monthly close basis.

MA Chart December 2018

MA Chart December 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for MA, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open MA 25JAN18 190 Puts (MA190125P190)
Sell To Open MA 25JAN18 192.5 Puts (MA190125P192.5) for a credit of $1.10 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when MA was trading near $195.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $107.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $142.50 ($250 – $107.50).  If MA closes at any price above $192.5 on January 25, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 75% (702% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 13, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates December 13, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Medpace Holdings (MEDP) Break to New All Time Highs?

Monday, December 10th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Will Medpace Holdings (MEDP) Break to New All Time Highs?

Medpace Holdings has been getting some media attention as of late, take a look at these two articles to see what analysts are saying about this stock – MEDP vs PRAH: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now? and Bullish Trend Signal for Medpace Holdings.

The technical appeal in MEDP is it’s outperformance compared to the broader markets as well as some of the other stocks on the IBD Top 50 list.  MEDP has had a pickup in upside momentum since late October which seems to suggest it has resumed it’s uptrend following a correction.  In the past week, the stock saw some sellers near the $64 price point which resulted in a decline towards its 20-day moving average.  A break of $64 would have the stock trading at all time highs.  The stock appears to be well supported here with further support slightly below the 20-day moving average at $55 which was a level that held it higher after the gap up in late July.  As well, there is a rising trendline near the horizontal level that is drawn by connecting the October and November low

MEDP Chart December 2018

MEDP Chart December 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for MEDP, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open MEDP 18JAN19 50 Puts (MEDP190118P50)
Sell To Open MEDP 18JAN19 55 Puts (MEDP190118P55) for a credit of $1.33 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when MEDP was trading near $58.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $130.50 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $369.50 ($500 – $130.50).  If MEDP closes at any price above $55 on January 18, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 35% (312% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 6, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates December 6, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Can Intel Corp. (INTC) Overcome The $50 Psychological Barrier?

Sunday, December 2nd, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Last week, the market (SPY) enjoyed its best week in 7 years.  The 8 real-life option portfolios carried out by Terry’s Tips shared in the good news.  Our composite portfolio value gained 27% for the week, one of our best weeks ever.

Terry

Can Intel Corp. (INTC) Overcome The $50 Psychological Barrier?

Several analysts think Intel stock can move a lot higher, here are two of them – Why Intel ‘s Stock Is Poised To Surge and Bull of the Day: Intel (INTC).

From a technical perspective, INTC is facing a wall of resistance consisting of the psychological $50 barrier as well as the 200-day moving average.  However, the stock is seen consolidating below this resistance zone through out the month of November within a relatively small range which signals a lack of selling pressure.  This type of price action usually suggests that the bears are not in control and that the stock may well be on the verge of breaking higher.  As well, on a weekly chart, INTC posted a bullish engulfing candle as a result of price action in the past week which signals strength and favors a continuation higher.

INTC Chart November 2018

INTC Chart November 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for INTC, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, at least a little bit.

Buy To Open INTC 11JAN18 47 Puts (INTC180111P47)
Sell To Open INTC 11JAN18 50 Puts (INTC180111P50) for a credit of $1.11 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when INTC was trading near $49.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $108.50 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $191.50 ($300 – $108.50).  If INTC closes at any price above $50 on January 11, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% (533% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 29, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates November 29, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Should You Buy the Post Earnings Dip in Charles River Laboratories (CRL)?

Sunday, November 25th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Should You Buy the Post Earnings Dip in Charles River Laboratories (CRL)?

Recent price target upgrades suggest more upside for CRL.  Take a look at these two articles that contain the details – Charles River Laboratories PT Raised to $148.00 at Robert W. Baird and Charles River Laboratories Given a $147 Price Target at Royal Bank of Canada.

CRL has been contained within a rising trend channel for just over a year now.  A spike higher following their latest earnings report was met with sellers at the top of the channel, resulting in a dip back to roughly the halfway point.  Support is found at $125 which was where the stock was trading prior to the earnings inspired gap up.  CRL has been outperforming the broader markets as it traded at record highs just a few weeks ago.  The trend remains healthy, technically speaking, on a daily chart and higher time frames and there have not been any technical indications that the uptrend won’t continue.

CRL Chart November 2018

CRL Chart November 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for CRL, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open CRL 21Dec18 120 Puts (CRL181221P120)
Sell To Open CRL 21Dec18 125 Puts (CRL181221P125) for a credit of $1.53 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when CRL was trading near $127.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $150.50 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $349.50 ($500 – $150.50).  If CRL closes at any price above $125 on December 21, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 43% (581% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 22, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates November 22, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Motorola Solutions (MSI) Continue to Outperform?

Sunday, November 18th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Will Motorola Solutions (MSI) Continue to Outperform?

Investors have many reasons to remain bullish Motorola Solutions including a recent dividend hike as well as an upgrade accompanied with a raised price target.  Take a look at the following articles for details – Motorola Rewards Shareholders With 9.6% Dividend Hike and Motorola Solutions Upgraded to Buy by Zacks Investment Research.

The main appeal from a technical perspective is the outperfomance of Motorla stock versus the S&P 500.  This was first seen in late October when MSI bottomed very near to its mid-month low.  Recent price action appears much more obvious as the equity index turned lower on November 8 while MSI managed to hold near highs.  There seems to be a small hurdle near $130, but after several attempts bears have failed to elicit a downturn.  This is especially significant considering that equities were broadly weaker during the period this resistance level was being tested.  Considering the overall trend and the strength displayed as of late, the odds favor an upside break.  The below chart has an overlay of the S&P 500 to illustrate the recent divergence.

MSI Chart November 2018

MSI Chart November 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for MSI, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open MSI 21DEC18 125 Puts (MSI181221P125)
Sell To Open MSI 21DEC18 130 Puts (MSI181221P130) for a credit of $1.84 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when MSI was trading near $130.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $181.50 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $318.50 ($500 – $181.50).  If MSI closes at any price above $130 on December 21, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% (650% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 15, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates November 15, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Xilinx (XLNX) Surges to Fresh Yearly Highs, What’s Next?

Sunday, November 11th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Xilinx (XLNX) Surges to Fresh Yearly Highs, What’s Next?

Xilinx has been receiving a lot of media attention as of late, these two articles shed some light on what analysts are expecting from the company – What Makes Xilinx a Strong Momentum Stock: Buy Now? And Has Xilinx Outpaced Other Computer and Technology Stocks This Year?

XLNX reversed sharply higher a few weeks back after their earnings report exceeded expectations.  Since then, the stock price regained it’s 20-day moving average, and more importantly, broke to a fresh 18-year high to clearly signal that bulls are in control.  A consolidation has taken place over the past week which is common following an important techincal break and most often precedes a continuation in the direction of the trend.

XLNX Chart November 2018

XLNX Chart November 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for XLNL, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open XLNL 21DEC18 82.5 Puts (XLNL181221P82.5)
Sell To Open XLNL 21DEC18 85 Puts (XLNL181221P85) for a credit of $1.05 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when XLNL was trading near $86.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $102.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $147.50 ($250 – $102.50).  If XLNL closes at any price above $85 on December 21, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 69% (681% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 8, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates November 8, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Consider Kirkland Lake Gold (KL), A Gold Mining Growth Stock

Sunday, November 4th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Last week was a great one for the market (SPY up 2.6%) and an even better one for the Terry’s Tips 8 actual option portfolios.  Every one made gains, and the composite average picked up 11%, a record we are quite proud of.

Terry

Consider Kirkland Lake Gold (KL), A Gold Mining Growth Stock

The Investor’s Business Daily recently posted an article which started out by stating “Gold might not come to mind first when you think of growth stocks” which is very true.  Take a look at this article for the full write up and the reasoning behind why they see growth potential in this stock.  Also check out Kirkland Lake Gold Receives Consensus Rating of “Buy” from Analysts.

KL corrected lower ahead of earnings and was mostly flat following it.  The technical significance is that the stock managed to hold above a triple confluence of support derived from a rising trendline, the 50-day moving average, as well as a horizontal support level.  Also significant is the prior correction that took place in late summer that was held higher by the 200-day moving average.  These developments suggests that

bulls remain firmly in control from a technical perspective while the close proximity of the current price to support offers an attractive entry point.  It’s worth mentioning that the correlation between this stock and the price of Gold has strengthened since last month and that Gold appears to be carving out a bottom, at least a near-term one.

KL Chart November 2018

KL Chart November 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for KL, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open KL 21DEC18 17.5 Puts (KL181221P17.5)
Sell To Open KL 21DEC18 20 Puts (KL181221P20) for a credit of $0.78 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when KL was trading near $20.00.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $75.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $174.50 ($250 – $75.50).  If KL closes at any price above $20 on December 21, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 43% (402% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 1, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates November 1, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Should You Buy The Dip in Dave & Buster’s (PLAY)?

Sunday, October 7th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Should You Buy The Dip in Dave & Buster’s (PLAY)?

Several analysts see Dave & Buster’s stock price continuing higher, here are two of them – Dave & Buster’s Entertainment Upgraded by Zacks Investment Research to “Buy” and Dave & Buster’s Entertainment Price Target Raised to $70.00.

From a technical perspective, PLAY is seen bouncing from a confluence of support derived from the 20-day moving average and a horizontal level at $62.50.  Further support is seen slightly below the confluence area from a rising trendline that originates from a low posted in late July.

PLAY Chart October 2018

PLAY Chart October 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for PLAY, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open PLAY 9NOV18 60 Puts (PLAY18119P60)
Sell To Open PLAY 9NOV18 63 Puts (PLAY18119P63) for a credit of $1.03 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PLAY was trading near $64.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $100.50 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $199.50 ($300 – $100.50).  If PLAY closes at any price above $63 on November 9, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 50% (570% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates October 4, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates October 4, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Consider Buying the Post-Earnings Dip in Adobe Systems (ADBE)

Sunday, September 23rd, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Consider Buying the Post-Earnings Dip in Adobe Systems (ADBE)

Adobe’s stock price has seen a steady rise over the last few years, and from both a technical and fundamental standpoint, there is a strong case to be made that it will continue.  These following two articles discuss the recent earnings report and where the stock may go from here – Adobe: Stock Marches Forward With Another Record Quarter and Should You Buy Adobe Systems at Its All-Time High?.  As well, there have been several price target upgrades as of late and a few of the more bullish analysts think the stock can even cross above the $300 price point.

ADBE Chart September 2018 Adobe

ADBE Chart September 2018 Adobe

ADBE corrected lower in the past week and is seen trading near a significant confluence of support.  The 50-day moving average is coming into play, a horizontal level at $256 that was respected as both support and resistance last month, and two rising trend channels.  The small channel formation originates from a low posted in late July while the longer term trend channel has encompassed price action for a few days short of a year.

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for ADBE, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open ADBE 26OCT18 255 Puts (ADBE181026P255)
Sell To Open ADBE 26OCT18 260 Puts (ADBE181026P260) for a credit of $1.97 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when ADBE was trading near $261.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will be $2.50 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $194.50 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $305.50 ($500 – $194.50).  If ADBE closes at any price above $260 on October 26, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 64% (730% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates September 20, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates September 20, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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