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Posts Tagged ‘Credit Spreads’

Align Technologies Consolidates In a Range, Is It Ready To Break Higher?

Sunday, May 6th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Align Technologies Consolidates In a Range, Is It Ready To Break Higher?

Align Technology posted a strong performance last year.  Not only did it outperform its sector, it was also ranked the top-performing stock in the S&P 500 for 2017.  The following articles outline the details – 3 Growth Stocks I’m Holding Onto No Matter How Bumpy the Market Gets and Is Align Technology (ALGN) Outperforming Other Medical Stocks This Year?

From a technical perspective, ALGN has been mostly consolidating within a range over the last few months.  Ahead of the recent earning’s call, the stock briefly dipped below range support at $243 but it managed to regain it following the earnings report.  Current prices offer an opportunity to buy the stock near the lower bound of the consolidation.  There is some potential for an upside break, in line with the broader trend.  The rationale being that a quite few of the stocks listed in the IBD Top 50 list have shown strength in the past week and some have even broken to fresh highs.  This signals some potential that the bullish trend may have resumed in the markets.

ALGN Chart May 2018 - vertical put spread

ALGN Chart May 2018 – Free Trade

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for ALGN, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open ALGN 08JUN18 255 Puts (ALGN180608P255)
Sell To Open ALGN 08JUN18 257.5 Puts (ALGN180608P257.5) for a credit of $1.13 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when ALGN was trading near $259.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $110.50 and your broker would charge a $250.00 maintenance fee, making your investment $139.50 ($250 – $110.50).  If ALGN closes at any price above $257.50 on June 8, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 79% (904% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Netflix(NFLX) Pulls Back After Earnings, Is It a Buy?

Monday, April 30th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Netflix(NFLX) Pulls Back After Earnings, Is It a Buy?

Recent hikes in the price target for Netflix stock among analysts suggest there is further upside.  Stifel Nicolaus has raised their target from $345 from $325 and Raymond James increased targets from $290 to $330.

NFLX has pulled back since its earnings report but price action over the past few days suggest some exhaustion as a doji candlestick pattern has printed and the stock price has edged higher since.  This pattern was established at the 50-day moving average which remains a key indicator to the downside.  Further support is seen slightly below it in the form of a rising trendline.

NFLX Chart April 2018

NFLX Chart April 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for NFLX, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open NFLX 01JUN18 307.5 Puts (NFLX180601P307.5)
Sell To Open NFLX 01JUN18 310 Puts (NFLX180601P310) for a credit of $1.08 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when NFLX was trading near $312.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $105.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $144.50 ($250 – $105.50).  If NFLX closes at any price above $310.00 on June 1, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 73% (833% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates April 26, 201

IBD Underlying Updates April 26, 201

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Micron Technology (MU) Retreats – Can it Hold Above the Psychological $50 Handle?

Monday, April 23rd, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Micron Technology (MU) Retreats – Can it Hold Above the Psychological $50 Handle?

Micron Technology has posted an impressive gain in the early year and several analysts are expecting more upside.  The following two articles provide the details behind this view – 3 Stocks That Could Double Your Money and Bull of the Day: Micron (MU).

MU has declined as of late and is now seen trading near an overwhelming confluence of support.  A rising trendline is in play that originates from this year’s low, and near it, the $50 price point comes into play.  The stock briefly traded below the psychological handle earlier this month but buyers quickly stepped in to lift it back above the horizontal level.  As well, the 20 and 50-day moving averages have converged close to the rising trendline.

Micron (MU) Chart April 2018

MU(micron) Chart April 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for MU, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open MU 18MAY18 48 Puts (MU180518P48)
Sell To Open MU 18MAY18 50 Puts (MU180518P50) for a credit of $0.68 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when MU was trading near $50.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $65.50 and your broker would charge a $200 maintenance fee, making your investment $134.50 ($200 – $65.50).  If MU closes at any price above $50.00 on May 18, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 49% (658% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates April 19, 2018 additions deletions

IBD Underlying Updates April 19, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Adobe Systems (ADBE): A Stable and Consistent Player

Monday, April 16th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Adobe Systems (ADBE): A Stable and Consistent Player

The following two articles suggest ADBE offers good value at current prices – Is Advanced Micro Devices Stock Undervalued? and AMD Stock’s Fall Has a Silver Lining for Value Investors.

From a technical perspective, the recent decline in Adobe’s stock price resembles a consolidation more than correction, which suggests some underlying strength.  This is especially important considering the heightened volatility in the equity markets as of late.  Price action in ADBE over the last month or so has not altered the bullish technical outlook as the buyers protected support near the 50-day moving average at $212.  Once again, this is significant and supports the view of strength in Adobe’s stock price as several stocks, including those on the IBD Top 50 list, have broken below notable support either in the form of a relevant moving average or a horizontal level.

ADBE Chart April 2018

ADBE Chart April 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for ADBE, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open ADBE 25MAY18 220 Puts (ADBE180525P220)
Sell To Open ADBE 25MAY18 222.5 Puts (ADBE180525P222.5) for a credit of $0.80 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when ADBE was trading near $224.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $77.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $172.50 ($250 – $77.50).  If ADBE closes at any price above $222.50 on May 25, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 45% (360% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Consider Applied Materials (AMAT) Following a Pullback To Support

Monday, April 9th, 2018

A quick update on our two latest suggestions using the Diagonal Condor Earnings Strategy – both Redhat (RHT) and Carmax (KMX) spreads could have been closed out on the Friday after earnings were announced for a 49%+ gain for the week.

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Consider Applied Materials (AMAT) Following a Pullback To Support

Several articles have recently been published that outline the potential for growth in Applied Materials stock price, here are two of them – Is Applied Materials a Strong Growth Stock? and Have Sufficient Potential Left To Grow? Applied Materials, Inc.

AMAT has been correcting lower over the past four weeks and is now seen near a confluence of support.  The stock shows support at $51.73 from a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement measured from this year’s low to high.  As well, the 200-day moving average is found slightly below the Fibonacci retracement.

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Applied Materials, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, at least a little bit.

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Applied Materials, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, at least a little bit. AMAT will announce earnings in the week following the 11May18 series, and we usually see higher stock prices going into expiration week, so this might be a good trade for other reasons as well.

Buy To Open AMAT 11MAY18 49 Puts (AMAT180511P49)
Sell To Open AMAT 11MAY18 52 Puts (AMAT180511P52) for a credit of $1.08 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when AMAT was trading near $52.50.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $105.50 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $194.50 ($300 – $105.50).  If AMAT closes at any price above $52 on May 11, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 54% (550% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Is Stamps.com (STMP) Ready to Resume Higher?

Sunday, April 1st, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Is Stamps.com (STMP) Ready to Resume Higher?

Zacks research recently wrote a compelling article outlining why STMP is poised for further gains.  As well, this analyst believes there is potential for about a 30% upside based on their recent price target revision.

From a technical perspective, STMP has been consolidating sideways following a gap up in late February that was inspired by a stellar earnings report.  The consolidation is an indication of strength when considering that the markets have been under pressure as of late.  Buyers have stepped in to keep the stock trading above the $190 price point and an upside hurdle is seen around $210 as it has held the stock lower on a few attempts this year.

STMP Chart March 2018

STMP Chart March 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Stamps.com, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open STMP 27APR18 192.5 Puts (STMP180427P192.5)
Sell To Open STMP 27APR18 195 Puts (STMP180427P195) for a credit of $0.98 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when STMP was trading near $201.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $95.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $154.50 ($250 – $95.50).  If STMP closes at any price above $195.00 on April 27, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 62% (778% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates March 29, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates March 29, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Arista Networks (ANET): Should You Buy the Dip?

Monday, March 26th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Arista Networks (ANET): Should You Buy the Dip?

Upside price targets for Arista Networks have recently been raised by several analysts, here are two of them – Arista Networks PT Raised to $270.00 at BMO Capital Markets and Arista Networks PT Raised to $330 at Oppenheimer Following Management Meetings

ANET dipped lower in the past week inline with the broader market correction that took place.  The stock price ended the week at a horizontal level near $264 that has acted as both support and resistance in the year thus far.  Further support is seen slightly below horizontal support in the form of a rising trendline originating from a low posted in early November.  Most of the stocks listed in the IBD Top 50 list of companies have dipped lower as a result of last week’s market correction but ANET stands out as it has had a strong performance, relative to the list, since turning higher in early 2016.

ANET Chart March 2018

ANET Chart March 2018

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Arista Networks, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open ANET 20APR18 255 Puts (ANET180420P255)
Sell To Open ANET 20APR18 260 Puts (ANET 180420P260) for a credit of $1.98 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when NVDA was trading near $265.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $196 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $304 ($500 – $196).  If ANET closes at any price above $260.00 on April 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 64% (735% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates March 22, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates March 22, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Paypal (PYPL) Continue Its Upward Momentum?

Monday, March 12th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. The actual portfolio at Terry’s Tips where we place the trades we tell you about a couple of days later is now ahead 84% so far in 2018, and that includes our closing out the BABA spread last week at a slight loss when we could have made the max gain if we had waited three more days until expiration.  Even we make bad trades once in a while (although we still believe we made the prudent move – no one could have predicted that BABA would soar $11 in the last three days before expiration).

Terry

Will Paypal (PYPL) Continue Its Upward Momentum?

Several articles have recently been published on the positive outlook for PYPL.  Here are two of them – Paypal Holdings Stock Is Itching for a Breakout and BMO Capital Markets Boosts Paypal Price Target to $89.00.

As the above technical article has mentioned, the 20-period moving average on a weekly chart held Paypal stock higher following the earnings-inspired correction in early February.  PYPL has since climbed back above the same moving average on a daily chart, which has held declines in the month thus far.  The stock has also breached above the psychological $80 price point which had held prices lower in late February.

PYPL Chart March 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Paypal, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open PYPL 20APR18 77.5 Puts (PYPL180420P77.5)
Sell To Open PYPL 20APR18 80 Puts (PYPL180420P80) for a credit of $0.83 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading near $81.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $81 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $169 ($250 – $81).  If PYPL closes at any price above $80.00 on April 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 48% (449% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

TD Ameritrade (AMTD): A Stable and Consistent Player

Monday, March 5th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

TD Ameritrade (AMTD): A Stable and Consistent Player

Several analysts have a bullish outlook for TD Ameritrade, here are two of them: TD Ameritrade Rating Reiterated by Goldman Sachs Group and TD Ameritrade PT Raised to $61.00

AMTD faced some volatile price action in February as the global equity markets fell under pressure and broadly corrected lower.  In the past week, AMTD broke to a fresh 19 year high prior to pulling back.  The bullish break is suggesting the stock has resumed higher within its broader uptrend while the pullback offers an entry point against support from the 20-period daily moving average.

AMTD Chart March 2018

AMTD Chart March 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for TD Ameritrade, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open AMTD 6APR18 54.5 Puts (AMTD180406P54.5)
Sell To Open AMTD 6APR18 57.5 Puts (AMTD180406P57.5) for a credit of $0.98 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when AMTD was trading near $57.50.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $0.96 and your broker would charge a $210 maintenance fee, making your investment $110 ($206 – $96).  If AMTD closes at any price above $57.50 on April 6, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 52% (597% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates March 1, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates March 1, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Weibo Corp (WB) Surges On a Stellar Earnings Report, Can it Continue the Momentum?

Monday, February 26th, 2018

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. At Terry’s Tips, we carry out actual portfolios for our subscribers to follow (either on their own or through Auto-Trade at their broker).  One of these portfolios places our Idea of the Week that we publish here.  So far in 2018, this portfolio has gained 69% and over half the portfolio value is now in cash since several of the put credit spreads that we sold earlier expired worthless over the past two weeks. I hope you enjoy these ideas that we pass along.

Terry

Weibo Corp (WB) Surges On a Stellar Earnings Report, Can it Continue the Momentum?

Several analysts have revised up their price targets after Weibo Corporation tripled Q4 earnings earlier this month.  Here are two of them – Weibo Corp (WB) PT Raised to $150 at Barclays and Weibo Corp (WB) PT Raised to $154 at Nomura; Momentum Remains Strong.

WB turned from trendline support earlier this month and was boosted to all-time highs following an impressive fourth-quarter earnings report.  Since breaking notable horizontal resistance at $132.21 the stock is seen consolidating sideways which is a common bullish continuation pattern after a sharp acceleration to the upside.

WB Chart February 2018

WB Chart February 2018

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Weibo, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open WB 23Mar18 138 Puts (WB180323P138)
Sell To Open WB 23Mar18 139 Puts (WB180323P139) for a credit of $0.48 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when WB was trading near $139.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $0.46 and your broker would charge a $100 maintenance fee, making your investment $54 ($100 – $46).  If WB closes at any price above $139.00 on March 23, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 85% (1152% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates February 22, 2018

IBD Underlying Updates February 22, 2018

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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