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Posts Tagged ‘Calendar Spreads’

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Soars Following Earnings Beat

Monday, November 23rd, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

PANW rallied to fresh all-time highs after first-quarter earnings and revenue surpassed analyst expectations. In addition to the earnings report, Palo Alto Networks is acquiring a cybersecurity company that stands to boost its competitive edge. The following two articles provide more detail – BofA Turns Bullish On Palo Alto Networks After Q1 Beat and Palo Alto Networks: Why Expanse Is A Game Changer.

Technicals

Monday’s earnings report offered the catalyst for a bullish break of a flag pattern that had been forming for several months. The technical break signals a bullish continuation of the trend that took place in the second and third quarter. PANW has shown a steady rise in upward momentum since the start of the month and investors may look to continue buying on shallow dips.

PANW Chart November 2020 - All time high

PANW Chart November 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for PANW, consider this trade which relies on the stock remaining above the $290 level through the expiration in six weeks.

Buy To Open PANW 31DEC20 285 Puts (PANW201231P285)
Sell To Open PANW 31DEC20 290 Puts (PANW201231P290) for a credit of $2.05 (selling a vertical)

This credit is $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PANW was trading near $292.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will be only $1.30 per spread.  Each spread would then yield $203.70. This reduces your buying power by $500 and makes your investment $296.30 ($500 – $203.70).  If PANW closes at any price above $290 on December 31, both options will expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 69% ($203.70 / $296.30), or 646% annualized.

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 21, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates November 21, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Investors Flock to Facebook (FB) Post-Election

Monday, November 9th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Facebook rose sharply higher in the past week for a gain of 11.5%. The following two articles discuss the rationale behind the move and its implications – 3 Stocks That Are Big Winners After The U.S. Election and Best Mutual Funds Buy Up FANG Stocks Amazon, Alphabet, Facebook.

Technicals

The price action points to the same narrative as suggested by the articles mentioned above. There was a large move lower ahead of the election, likely attributed to investors covering their position ahead of the election. But then the rally in the past week catapulted FB to a new 2-month high, signaling a clear shift in sentiment from the earlier uncertainty. Further, FB’s outperformance compared to the broader markets during this time shows that it remains a favorite among investors. Near-term support is seen at $284 as the price point acted as resistance last month. The strong show of buying as of late suggests that near-term dips will be shallow, but if FB dips below $284, further support is seen at the 50-Day moving average. This moving average falls near a rising trendline that originates from a low printed in late June.

FB Chart November 2020 - Post election spike FANG

FB Chart November 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for FB, consider this trade which relies on the stock remaining above the $292.5 level through the expiration in five weeks.

Buy To Open FB 11DEC20 290 Puts (FB201211P290)
Sell To Open FB 11DEC20 292.5 Puts (FB201211P292.5) for a credit of $1.08 (selling a vertical)

This credit is $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FB was trading near $293.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will be only $1.30 per spread.  Each spread would then yield $106.70. This reduces your buying power by $250 and makes your investment $143.30 ($250 – $106.70).  If FB closes at any price above $292.5 on December 11, both options will expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 74% ($106.70 / $143.30), or 844% annualized.

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 7, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates November 7, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Kroger (KR) Shows Renewed Upward Momentum Following an Earnings-Inspired Dip

Monday, July 6th, 2020

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Several analysts have positive things to say about Kroger, here are two of them – Kroger: How The COVID-19 Crisis Could Provide Long-Term Tailwinds and Are Investors Undervaluing Kroger (KR) Right Now?

Technicals

Kroger corrected lower in June but the decline was shallow which signals underlying strength. Further, the dip that followed their recent earnings report was promptly bought up and the upward momentum has picked up notably since then. Strong support for the stock is seen at $32.70 as the 20 and 50-day moving averages have converged towards each other at that price point. Kroger has not traded below it’s 50-day moving average on a sustained basis for nearly a year as buyers continue to accumulate this stock near that particular indicator. To the upside, the $34.50 price point might be a near-term hurdle as it was in May, but a break above it would clear the path for a retest of the March high near $37.

KR Chart July 2020

KR Chart July 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for KR, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open KR 7AUG20 30.5 Puts (KR20087P30.5)
Sell To Open KR 7AUG20 33.5 Puts (KR20087P33.5) for a credit of $0.87 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when KR was trading at$33.50.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $85.70 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $214.30 ($300 – $85.70).  If KR closes at any price above $33.50 on August 7, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 40% (456% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates July 4, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates July 4, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Copart (CPRT) Eyes $100 Price Point

Monday, January 13th, 2020

Copart is a momentum stock that has caught the eyes of many analysts, here are two of them – Why Copart (CPRT) Stock Might be a Great Pick and Why Do 123 A+ Funds Have A Stake In This Breakout IBD 50 Stock?

Technicals

The main appeal to CPRT from a technical perspective is its upward momentum on the larger time frames. Over the last year, the stock has only posted one monthly loss and that loss was a small one compared to typical monthly ranges. Pullbacks have been shallow and buyers are quick to pick this stock up on dips. A horizontal level is in play at $91 that acted as resistance from mid-November until the break higher two weeks ago. The upward break suggests bullish a continuation and the psychological $100 price point may act as a magnet for this stock.

CPRT Chart January 2020

CPRT Chart January 2020

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for CPRT, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open CPRT 21FEB20 90 Puts (CPRT200221P90)
Sell To Open CPRT 21FEB20 95 Puts (CPRT200221P95) for a credit of $1.63 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when CPRT was trading near $95.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $161.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $338.30 ($500 – $161.70).  If CPRT closes at any price above $95 on February 21, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 48% (449% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 11, 2020

IBD Underlying Updates January 11, 2020

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Green Lights are Flashing for Merck & Co (MRK)

Monday, December 16th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Merck has been in the spotlight because of a recent acquisition and as several biotech’s have produced outsized gains as of late. The following two articles discuss the acquisition and how MRK is a better option compared to one of its peers – Merck: Adding To The Pipeline and Better Buy: Eli Lilly vs. Merck.

Technicals

The recent technical development in MRK is a significant one. The stock has broken above a horizontal resistance level at $87 that had held it lower on three notable attempts since the summer. Such a consolidation, followed by a break,, is often a precursor to a much larger move to come. With the stock still trading relatively close to its breakout point there is good value as technical traders usually look to defend breakout points if they were to be retested.

MRK Chart December 2019 broken resistence level

MRK Chart December 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for MRK, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least a little bit.

Buy To Open MRK 17JAN20 87.5 Puts (MRK200117P87.5)
Sell To Open MRK 17JAN20 90 Puts (MRK200117P90) for a credit of $0.92 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when MRK was trading near $89.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $90.70 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $159.30 ($250 – $90.70).  If MRK closes at any price above $90 on January 17, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 57% (650% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 14, 2019 via Terry's Tips

IBD Underlying Updates December 14, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ) – A Pharma Stock on a Tear

Monday, December 9th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Recent media coverage suggests Jazz Pharmaceuticals is a stock that investors certainly want to own. Check out what these two articles have to say about it – Hedge Funds Got Back Into Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc and  Two stocks I’d tuck away forever: Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ), HollyFrontier Corporation (HFC).

Technicals

JAZZ is showing a textbook technical breakout. The stock traded between roughly $115 and $145 for most of the year before finally breaking higher in November. The $145 price point offered major resistance in April and July and is now seen as support. In fact, a dip toward the level in the past week was promptly bought up, offering some confirmation that buyers do view the level as support. Further, the upward momentum from the October low is unusually strong which also confirms the outlook of a technical breakout.

JAZZ Pharmaceuticals Chart December 2019

JAZZ Chart December 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for JAZZ, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least a little bit.

Buy To Open JAZZ 17JAN20 145 Puts (JAZZ200117P145)
Sell To Open JAZZ 17JAN20 150 Puts (JAZZ200117P150) for a credit of $2.18 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when JAZZ was trading near $149.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $216.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $283.30 ($500 – $216.70).  If JAZZ closes at any price above $150 on January 17, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 76% (711% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 7, 2019

IBD Underlying Updates December 7, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

MOMO Inc. (MOMO) – A Growth Stock That Offers Value

Monday, December 2nd, 2019

Momo Inc. has been getting positive media coverage as of late, check out what these two analysts had to say about the stock – 3 Undervalued Mid-Cap Stocks That Score a “Perfect 10” and Better Buy: Momo vs. Huya.

Technicals

The technicals sure look good for MOMO as the stock is seen breaking out of a consolidation pattern that had contained price action since around April. The stock broke upward from the triangle pattern in early November and showed strong buying on a dip to retest the pattern in the past week.Further, the stock trades comfortably above the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages which have all converged between $34-$35.

MOMO Chart December 2019 options spread

MOMO Chart December 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for MOMO, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, at least a little bit.

Buy To Open MOMO 03JAN20 35 Puts (MOMO200103P35)
Sell To Open MOMO 03JAN20 37.5 Puts (MOMO200103P37.5) for a credit of $0.93 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when MOMO was trading near $37.5.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $91.70 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $158.30 ($250 – $91.70).  If MOMO closes at any price above $37.5 on January 03, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 58% (662% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 30, 2019

IBD Underlying Updates November 30, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

J2 Global (JCOM) – A Little-Known Stock Showing a lot of Strength

Monday, November 25th, 2019

There was an article published about J2 Global on SeekingAlpha in July that was titled “J2 Global is a Sleeper”. There’s a lot of truth to this, this stock is not very well known or covered in media but from the articles that are written about the company, quite a few of them have good things to say about it. Here are two of them – J2 Global’s Charts Send Bullish Signals and J2 Global (JCOM) Stock Analysis offering an attractive story

Technicals

JCOM has broken higher from a major technical pattern. The weekly chart below shows that the roughly $91 price point offered a major hurdle since the stock price first approached it in early 2017. After consolidating in a range below the level for more than two years, it finally broke higher last month. In the past week, there has been a pullback, offering an attractive entry with major support from the breakout point nearby. Breakouts like this tend to signal a significant upside considering it is on a weekly chart. The technical break should create demand among technical traders and keep the stock price bid, likely even ahead of the $91 breakout point.

JCOM Chart November 2019 vertical options spread

JCOM Chart November 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for JCOM, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open JCOM 20DEC19 90 Puts (JCOM191220P90)
Sell To Open JCOM 20DEC19 95 Puts (JCOM191220P95) for a credit of $1.48 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when JCOM was trading near $95.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $146.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $353.30 ($500 – $146.70).  If JCOM closes at any price above $95 on December 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 42% (613% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 23, 2019

IBD Underlying Updates November 23, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Consider Alibaba (BABA) Following the Technical Break

Monday, November 18th, 2019

Consider Alibaba (BABA) Following the Technical Break

With the stock markets gaining upward momentum Alibaba is gaining attention. The following two analysts have included the stock in their top picks of stocks to own – These 3 ‘Strong Buy’ Giants Still Have Room for Growth, Say Analysts and 5 Mega Cap Stocks Hedge Funds Are Crazy About.

From a technical standpoint, BABA has scaled above a fairly important resistance level at $181. This is a level that held the stock lower since July and the upward break suggests the stock has resumed within its uptrend. Further, the stock has also regained its 20-day moving average and has been trading in a bullish trendline channel which originates from a low printed in early October. There has been a strong show of buying on a retest of the horizontal level in the past week which is also a bullish sign.

BABA Chart November 2019 vertical options spread

BABA Chart November 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for BABA, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open BABA 20DEC19 180 Puts (BABA191220P180)
Sell To Open BABA 20DEC19 185 Puts (BABA191220P185) for a credit of $2 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when BABA was trading near $185.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $198.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $301.30 ($500 – $198.70).  If BABA closes at any price above $185 on December 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 66% (753% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 16, 2019 via Terry's Tips

IBD Underlying Updates November 16, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

PayPal (PYPL) Is Set To Resume Its Bullish Trend

Monday, November 4th, 2019

Recent headlines are suggesting that now might be a good time to get into PYPL, take a look at what these two analysts are saying about the stock – Why I Just Bought PayPal Stock and PayPal’s Momentum Is Spreading Across the World.

Technicals

There are several recent developments that signal PayPal’s stock may have resumed within its broader bullish trend. For starters, the stock has regained its 50-day moving average. This is an indicator that PYPL traded below for much of the correction that started in July. There is a horizontal level near the moving average that is currently creating a nice support confluence. This level falls near $104 and originates from a low posted in late May. Perhaps the strongest signal is that the stock is bouncing from the 50-week moving average, this is an indicator the stock has not traded below on a sustained basis for at least 5 years. Further, a bullish reversal candlestick has printed on both a weekly and monthly chart.

PYPL Chart November 2019 vertical options spread

PYPL Chart November 2019

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for PYPL, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, at least a little bit.

Buy To Open PYPL 06DEC19 102 Puts (PYPL191206P102)
Sell To Open PYPL 06DEC19 105 Puts (PYPL191206P105) for a credit of $1.13 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading near $105.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $111.70 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $188.30 ($300 – $111.70).  If PYPL closes at any price above $105 on December 06, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 59% (673% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 2, 2019 options strategy

IBD Underlying Updates November 2, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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Success Stories

I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years. Terry Allen's strategies have been the most consistent money makers for me. I used them during the 2008 melt-down, to earn over 50% annualized return, while all my neighbors were crying about their losses.

~ John Collins