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Archive for the ‘Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week’ Category

Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) Is Set To Grow

Monday, December 11th, 2017

This week we are featuring another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum. The 10 actual option portfolios carried out by Terry’s Tips for its paying subscribers have gained an average of 108% for 2017.  This is down a little from a few weeks ago because many of the tech stocks that we trade options on have fallen over the past few weeks.  We are still pleased with the composite results, however.  (One of our newest portfolios adds the Trading Idea of the Week that we send out to you each week to its holdings).

Terry

Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) Is Set To Grow

Investors are optimistic about the outlook for FND after a recent Moody’s upgrade and an upgrade from Zacks Investment Research to a buy rating with a $46.00 price target.

The technical outlook for FND is also positive as the stock broke above a significant horizontal level at $42.43 in the past week.  As a result, the stock printed the highest weekly close to date.  The technical break signals the potential for a breakout and dips are likely to be bought ahead of the horizontal level.

FND Chart December 2017

FND Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Floor & Décor Holdings, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance at least a little over the next six weeks.

Buy To Open FND 19Jan18 40 Puts (FND180118P40)
Sell To Open FND 19Jan18 45 Puts (FND180118P45) for a credit of $1.58 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FND was trading near $45.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $156 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $344 ($500 – $156).  If FND closes at any price above $45 on January 19, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 45% (414% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 7, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 7, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Essent Group (ESNT) Continue the Momentum?

Tuesday, December 5th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Will Essent Group (ESNT) Continue the Momentum?

Essent Group has received a lot of attention as of late and several analysts are expecting more upside in the stock price.  Here are two of them – Essent Group Earns Outperform Rating from Analysts at Wells Fargo & Company and Zacks: Analysts Anticipate Essent Group Ltd. Will Announce Earnings of $0.77 Per Share.

ESNT has recently seen a pickup of upside momentum after a consolidating mostly sideways from early in the year.  The stock broke to fresh record highs late last month and a correction in the second half of last week ended with a bullish engulfing candle on a daily chart, suggestion a continuation of the predominant bullish trend.

ESNT Chart December 2017

ESNT Chart December 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Essent Group, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next seven weeks.

Buy To Open ESNT 19Jan18 40 Puts (ESNT180119P040)
Sell To Open ESNT 19Jan18 45 Puts (ESNT180119P045) for a credit of $1.38 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when EA was trading near $45.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $136 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $364 ($500 – $136).  If ESNT closes at any price above $45 on January 18, 2018, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 37% (296% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates December 1, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates December 1, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Facebook (FB): Time to Buy The Dip?

Monday, November 20th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that profit if the momentum continues, at least a little.

The last 12 ideas which we have published here which have expired resulted in 11 gains averaging 39% (including the loss which was only 10% on one of the spreads).  If you had invested the same amount in each of the 12 ideas, you would have made 468% on that amount.  Of course, we can’t promise that future results will be this great.

Terry

Facebook (FB): Time to Buy The Dip?

Several analysts are expecting Facebook stock to continue higher, here are two of them – Facebook Inc Stock Can Still Deliver Value, Event at These Levels and Three stocks to buy on recent weakness.

FB broke above horizontal resistance from highs posted in July at $175 to hit fresh record highs at the start of the month.  The stock has since declined slightly in a low momentum correction.  The broken horizontal level now resides near a rising trendline that originates from a low printed at the end of 2016 to create a strong confluence of support to the downside.

FB Chart November 2017

FB Chart November 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Facebook, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance at least a little over the next six weeks.

Buy To Open FB 15Dec17 175 Puts (FB171215P175)
Sell To Open FB 15Dec17 180 Puts (FB171215P180) for a credit of $1.94 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FB was trading at $179.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $192 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $308 ($500 – $192).  If FB closes at any price above $180 on December 15, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 62% (711% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 16, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates November 16, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Coherent Inc. (COHR) Jumps After Earnings Beat, Is There More Upside Ahead?

Tuesday, November 14th, 2017

This week we are featuring another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to identify stocks with momentum and place spreads that profit if the momentum continues, at least a little.

I would also like to include a table which reviews how the previous 12 Trading Idea of the Week selections have worked out in the real world.  We have had an exceptionally good record.

Terry

Coherent Inc. (COHR) Jumps After Earnings Beat, Is There More Upside Ahead?

Before we discuss this week’s trading idea, I would like to review the past 12 ideas we have published here.  Each of these ideas was first distributed to Terry’s Tips’ paid subscribers in our weekly Saturday Report, and then on Monday or Tuesday, to the free newsletter subscribers such as you.  Here are the results:

Trading Idea of the week Summary Chart November 2017

Trading Idea of the week Summary Chart November 2017

The expiration prices for the 3 spreads which expire next Friday are today’s prices.  All of them are safely above the max gain price for the spread.

The only losing trade would have been the BABA one which was a minor loss.  The stock closed at $.85 below the max gain price and we had collected $.75 from the spread.  Presumably, rather than accept this small loss, we would have rolled over the vertical credit spread to a future date.  If we had, it would now look pretty good because BABA closed yesterday at $186.41, well above the max gain 177 strike.

The average gain for the 12 spreads (including the loss) was 39%.  If you had risked the same amount on 12 trades that averaged a 39% gain, you would have picked up 468% on your original investment.  While these results are a extremely encouraging, we must recognize that the past few months have been ones of generally higher stock prices across the board.  Future results might not be this great.

Now, back to our Trading Idea of the Week:

Several analysts have expressed their bullish outlook towards Coherent Inc. following their recent earnings report.  Here are two of them – Coherent price target raised to $330 from $270 at Needham and Coherent Inc. can’t be more hot.  Just reaches record high.

From a technical perspective, COHR had been consolidating mostly sideways for nearly six months ahead of last week’s earnings report.  The earnings beat triggered a gap higher for a range break and the stock held gains to close the week out at record highs.  The range break suggests the broader bullish trend has resumed.

COHR Chart November 2017

COHR Chart November 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Coherent Inc., consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance at least a little over the next five weeks.

Buy To Open COHR 15Dec17 305 Puts (COHR171215P305)
Sell To Open COHR 15Dec17 310 Puts (COHR171215P310) for a credit of $2.53 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when COHR was trading near $309.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $251 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $249 ($500 – $251).  If COHR closes at any price above $310 on December 15, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 101% (1150% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Arista Networks (ANET) Hits Fresh All-Time Highs, What’s Next?

Monday, November 6th, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads that profit if the momentum continues.  Actually, the stock can even decline a little for the maximum gain to be made.

The 10 portfolios carried out by Terry’s Tips for its paying subscribers had its best week ever last week, gaining an average of 9.1%.  The composite portfolio average for 2017 has soared to 120%.  Isn’t it time for you to see exactly how we are doing it?

Terry

Arista Networks (ANET) Hits Fresh All-Time Highs, What’s Next?

Several analysts are optimistic about Arista Network’s future following their earnings report last week, here are two of them – Arista Networks Keeps Enjoying Soaring Sales and Why Shares of Arista Networks Are Surging Today.

ANET fell under pressure last week ahead of its earnings report, falling just over 10% in a two-day correction.  The turn lower led to a break of the 20 period daily moving average as well as a rising trendline that had been in play for nearly three months.  However, the stock recovered after the earnings beat and closed the week out at a fresh all-time high.  Although the rising trendline is no longer in play as support, the break back above it as well as the moving average signals that buyers have regained control.

 

ANET Chart Novmeber 2017

ANET Chart Novmeber 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Arista Networks, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next six weeks.

Buy To Open ANET 15Dec17 195 Puts (ANET171215P195)
Sell To Open ANET 15Dec17 200 Puts (ANET171215P200)for a credit of $2.23 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when ANET was trading near $201.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $221 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $279 ($500 – $221).  If ANET closes at any price above $200 on December 15, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 79% (741% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

BD Underlying Updates November 2, 2017

BD Underlying Updates November 2, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Centene Corp (CNC) Poised To Break $100

Monday, October 30th, 2017

This week we are featuring another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to identify stocks with upward momentum and place spreads that stand to profit if the momentum continues, at least a little.

Just an update – the composite average gain for our 10 Terry’s Tips actual options portfolios has now reached 102% for 2017 (after paying all commissions, of course), and we expect some fireworks this week in our two portfolios which trade FB and MA options as both companies announce earnings after the close on Wednesday.

Terry

Centene Corp (CNC) Poised To Break $100

Several analysts are confident Centene Corp stock will continue its bullish run and break above the psychological $100.00 handle.  Here are two of them – Oppenheimer Holdings, Inc. Reaffirms “Buy” Rating for Centene Corporation (CNC) and Centene Corporation’s (CNC) Buy Rating Reiterated at Cowen and Company.

From a technical perspective, a rising trendline is in play that dates back to a low posted in late 2016.  Buyer’s protected the trendline earlier this month on a momentum driven decline which reaffirms that it is widely watched and respected.

CNC Chart October 2017

CNC Chart October 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Centene Corporation, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance at least a little over the next seven weeks.

Buy To Open CNC 5Dec17 92.50 Puts (CNC171215P92500)
Sell To Open CNC 5Dec17 95.00 Puts (CNC171215P95000) for a credit of $1.18 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when CNC was trading near $94.50.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $116 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $134 ($250 – $116).  If CNC closes at any price above $95 on December 15, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 87% (1264% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates October 26, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates October 26, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Is SVB Financial Group (SIVB) Ready To Continue Higher After The Price Correction?

Monday, October 23rd, 2017

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to identify outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the underlying trend and momentum.

I did want you to know that the 10 actual option portfolios carried out at Terry’s Tips  for paying subscribers reached an important milestone this week.  These portfolios use a variety of pre-determined options strategies and differing underlying stocks or ETPs.  If you had invested in all 10 portfolios in January 2017, you would have invested $48,600.  This week, the composite value of those portfolios reached $97,742, a gain of 101%.  For the first time, we are up 100% for the year.  A milestone to celebrate!  Isn’t it time that you learned how we did it so that you could enjoy these kinds of returns in your own investment account?

Terry

Is SVB Financial Group (SIVB) Ready To Continue Higher After The Price Correction?

SIVB recently broke higher from a correction that had taken place since March.  The stock price started trending higher in late September and made a series of technical breaks by regaining its 200-period daily moving average and breaking above a declining trend channel that had encompassed the roughly six-month correction.

SIVB corrected lower last week following the technical break but turned higher after retesting the broken trend channel, slightly ahead of the 200-period daily moving average.  The stock price ended the week near 189.50 after a gap higher inspired by the earnings report, taking out resistance at 186.09 which was a hurdle in May and August.  The trend channel which is found on a daily chart resembles a flag pattern and the recent upside break signals a bullish continuation.

SIVB Chart October 2017

SIVB Chart October 2017

*source Tradingview.com
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for SVB Financial Group, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance at least a little bit over the next four weeks.

Buy To Open SIVB 17Nov17 185 Puts (SIVB171117P185)
Sell To Open SIVB 17Nov17 190 Puts (SIVB171117P190) for a credit of $2.08 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when SIVB was trading near $189.50.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $206 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $294 ($500 – $206).  If SIVB closes at any price above $190 on November 17, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 70% (1023% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates October 19, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates October 19, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Consider Five Below Inc (FIVE) After The Bullish Technical Breakout

Monday, October 16th, 2017

This week we are featuring another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to identify outperforming stocks and place spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

The composite average gain for the 10 portfolios carried out for Terry’s Tips  paying subscribers has now reached 95.2% for 2017.  Isn’t it time for you to come on board and learn exactly how our options strategies have been able to compile this kind of record so consistently this year?

Terry

Consider Five Below Inc (FIVE) After The Bullish Technical Breakout

Several analysts have been praising Five Below Inc’s business model and see further upside in the stock price.  Here are two of them – Five Below Might Offer 15% Upside Potential and Amazon Who? This Fast-Growing, Teen-Focused Retailer Breaks Out.

Recently, there has been a technical breakout in FIVE as it has scaled above the 2016 and 2017 highs which were in close proximity of each other around the $53 price point.  The stock has also climbed above a horizontal level at $54.77 which was major resistance in 2013, in doing so, the stock briefly traded at record levels.  There has been a retracement in the past week which could be offering an attractive entry point.

 

FIVE Chart October 2017

FIVE Chart October 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for FIVE, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next four weeks.

Buy To Open FIVE 17Nov17 50 Puts (FIVE171117P50)
Sell To Open FIVE 17Nov17 55 Puts (FIVE171117P55) for a credit of $1.28 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FIVE was trading near $55.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $126 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $374 ($500 – $126).  If FIVE closes at any price above $55 on November 17, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 34% (384% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates October 12, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates October 12, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will the Nvidia (NVDA) Bull Run Continue?

Monday, October 9th, 2017

This week we are discussing another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to identify stocks with upward momentum and place spreads which will profit if the upward momentum continues for about four weeks.  Actually, the stock can even fall a little for the maxium gain to be made on these spreads.

The actual portfolios carried out for Terry’s Tips’s paying subscribers had another banner week, gaining an average of 4.7% while the market (SPY) rose 1.2%.  Our 10 portfolios have now gained 86.7% so far in 2017.  Options clearly can deliver extraordinary gains if they are set up properly.

Terry

Will the Nvidia (NVDA) Bull Run Continue?

Nvidia stock has gained significantly over the last year and several analysts believe there is further upside.  Here are two of them – Buy Nvidia, market’s hottest stock, on its gaming, A.I. prowess: Citi and 14% Upside Seen For Nvidia Shares On PC Gaming, Bitcoin Mining Strength.

From a technical perspective, NVDA has been rallying in a rising trend channel since early July.  There was a correction that took place late last month, however, the 20-day moving average as well as the lower bound of the rising channel held the stock price higher and continues to offer downside support.

 

NVDA Chart October 2017

NVDA Chart October 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Nvidia, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next four weeks.

Buy To Open NVDA 3Nov17 177.50 Puts (NVDA171103P17750)
Sell To Open NVDA 3Nov17 180.00 Puts (NVDA171103P18000) for a credit of $1.10 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when NVDA was trading near $181.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $108 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $142 ($250 – $108).  If NVDA closes at any price above $180 on November 3, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 76% (1110% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates October 5, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates October 5, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Earnings Growth To Fuel Further Momentum For Red Hat (RHT)

Monday, October 2nd, 2017

This week we are featuring a recent addition to the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List of companies.  We use this list in one of our portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place spreads which will profit if the upward momentum continues.  Actually, the stock can even fall a little for the maximum gain to be realized on these spreads.

The 10 Terry’s Tips option portfolios enjoyed another stellar week last week, gaining an average of 1.2%, and making the ytd number a whopping 78% for all the portfolios combined.  This is over 7 times as great as the 2017 results for the market (SPY) which is up about 11%.

Terry

Earnings Growth To Fuel Further Momentum For Red Hat (RHT)

Red Hat reported above-consensus earnings in the past week and several analysts have refreshed their upside targets since.  Here are two of them – Red Hat PT raised to $128 at BMO Capital and Red Hat PT Raised to $117 at JPMorgan Following 2Q.

Red Hat’s earnings report triggered a push higher above a notable horizontal level at $108.04 that held the stock price lower on several attempts throughout the month prior to the report.  RHT also regained the 20-period daily moving average on the back of the same surge and hit fresh 52-week highs.  The horizontal level and the moving average fall in close proximity to each other, offering a strong confluence of downside support.

 

RHT Chart October 2017

RHT Chart October 2017

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for Red Hat, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance, or at least not decline very much over the next seven weeks.

Buy To Open RHT 17Nov17 105 Puts (RHT171117P105)
Sell To Open RHT 17Nov17 110 Puts (RHT171117P110) for a credit of $1.45 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when RHT was trading near $111.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

If you use our favorite broker for this trade, tastyworks, your commission on this trade will only be $1 per opening contract ($2 per spread) (and there is no commission on closing trades, only the $.10 clearing fee).  Each contract would then yield $143 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $357 ($500 – $143).  If RHT closes at any price above $110 on November 17, 2017, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 40% (325% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates September 28, 2017

IBD Underlying Updates September 28, 2017

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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