Archive for the ‘Earnings Announcement Options Strategy’ Category
Monday, August 10th, 2020
This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies. We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.
Amazon had a strong quarter and the following two articles outline the earnings report and why the stock may head higher from here – Amazon (AMZN) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates and Why Amazon Stock Climbed 14% Last Month.
Technicals
From a technical perspective, AMZN was held lower by a horizontal resistance level near $3250 on the rally that followed the recent earnings report. However, from a broader perspective, the stock has been firmly bid from a rising trendline that originates back to a low posted in March. Considering how long this trendline has been in place, and the long-term trend, the resistance at $3250 does not appear to be a big hurdle and it may only be a matter of time before this stock is trading at fresh all-time highs.
AMZN Chart August 2020
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for AMZN, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.
Buy To Open AMZN 11SEP20 3160 Puts (AMZN200811P3160)
Sell To Open AMZN 11SEP20 3165 Puts (AMZN200811P3165) for a credit of $2.40 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when AMZN was trading near $3165. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread. Each contract would then yield $238.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $261.30 ($500 – $238.70). If AMZN closes at any price above $3165 on September 11, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 91% (1038% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates August 8, 2020
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: Amazon, AMZN, Auto-Trade, Bearish Options Strategies, Bullish Options strategies, Coronavirus, COVID-19, Earnings Announcement, Earnings Option Strategy, implied volatility, Monthly Options, Options Tutorial Program, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, Risk, SPY, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, Vertical Put Spread, Volatility, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Coffee Can Investing, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Last Minute Strategy, Lazy Way Strategy, Monthly Options, SPY, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Terry's Tips Portfolios, Weekly Options | No Comments »
Monday, November 25th, 2019
There was an article published about J2 Global on SeekingAlpha in July that was titled “J2 Global is a Sleeper”. There’s a lot of truth to this, this stock is not very well known or covered in media but from the articles that are written about the company, quite a few of them have good things to say about it. Here are two of them – J2 Global’s Charts Send Bullish Signals and J2 Global (JCOM) Stock Analysis offering an attractive story
Technicals
JCOM has broken higher from a major technical pattern. The weekly chart below shows that the roughly $91 price point offered a major hurdle since the stock price first approached it in early 2017. After consolidating in a range below the level for more than two years, it finally broke higher last month. In the past week, there has been a pullback, offering an attractive entry with major support from the breakout point nearby. Breakouts like this tend to signal a significant upside considering it is on a weekly chart. The technical break should create demand among technical traders and keep the stock price bid, likely even ahead of the $91 breakout point.
JCOM Chart November 2019
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for JCOM, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.
Buy To Open JCOM 20DEC19 90 Puts (JCOM191220P90)
Sell To Open JCOM 20DEC19 95 Puts (JCOM191220P95) for a credit of $1.48 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when JCOM was trading near $95. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread. Each contract would then yield $146.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $353.30 ($500 – $146.70). If JCOM closes at any price above $95 on December 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 42% (613% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates November 23, 2019
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: Auto-Trade, Calendar Spreads, Calls, Credit Spreads, diagonal spreads, implied volatility, J2 Global, JCOM, Monthly Options, Options Tutorial Program, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, Risk, Stocks vs. Stock Options, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, Volatility, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Coffee Can Investing, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Monthly Options, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Terry's Tips Portfolios, Weekly Options | No Comments »
Monday, November 4th, 2019
Recent headlines are suggesting that now might be a good time to get into PYPL, take a look at what these two analysts are saying about the stock – Why I Just Bought PayPal Stock and PayPal’s Momentum Is Spreading Across the World.
Technicals
There are several recent developments that signal PayPal’s stock may have resumed within its broader bullish trend. For starters, the stock has regained its 50-day moving average. This is an indicator that PYPL traded below for much of the correction that started in July. There is a horizontal level near the moving average that is currently creating a nice support confluence. This level falls near $104 and originates from a low posted in late May. Perhaps the strongest signal is that the stock is bouncing from the 50-week moving average, this is an indicator the stock has not traded below on a sustained basis for at least 5 years. Further, a bullish reversal candlestick has printed on both a weekly and monthly chart.
PYPL Chart November 2019
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for PYPL, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, at least a little bit.
Buy To Open PYPL 06DEC19 102 Puts (PYPL191206P102)
Sell To Open PYPL 06DEC19 105 Puts (PYPL191206P105) for a credit of $1.13 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading near $105. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread. Each contract would then yield $111.70 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $188.30 ($300 – $111.70). If PYPL closes at any price above $105 on December 06, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 59% (673% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates November 2, 2019
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: Auto-Trade, Bullish Options strategies, Calendar Spreads, Calls, Credit Spreads, implied volatility, Monthly Options, Options Tutorial Program, paypal, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, PYPL, Risk, SPY, Stocks vs. Stock Options, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, Volatility, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Coffee Can Investing, Credit Spreads, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Monthly Options, SPY, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Terry's Tips Portfolios, Weekly Options | No Comments »
Monday, October 28th, 2019
Visa’s earnings report in the past week has boosted sentiment among analysts. The following two articles include two upward price target revisions and a case for why the stock can continue to strengthen from here – Visa Analysts Encouraged By Q4 Results, 2020 Guidance and Visa stock gains after forecast paints a picture of continued strength in 2020.
The rally that followed the earnings report has lifted Visa’s stock back above all of the commonly looked at moving averages (20, 50 & 100-day). What’s appealing about V is the long-term trend and that dips have been shallow over the year which points to strong demand. There was a correction lower since early September, but the post-earnings upward momentum suggests the stock may have resumed within its broader uptrend.
Visa Chart October 2019
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for V, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.
Buy To Open V 29NOV19 175 Puts (V191129P175)
Sell To Open V 29NOV19 177.5 Puts (V191129P177.5) for a credit of $0.99 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when V was trading near $178. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread. Each contract would then yield $97.05 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $152.30 ($250 – $97.05). If V closes at any price above $177.5 on November 29, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 63% (730% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates October 26, 2019
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: Auto-Trade, Calendar Spreads, Calls, Credit Spreads, diagonal spreads, Earnings Announcement, Earnings Option Strategy, Earnings Play, implied volatility, Monthly Options, Options Tutorial Program, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, Risk, SPY, Stocks vs. Stock Options, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, V, Visa, Volatility, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Credit Spreads, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Monthly Options, SPY, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Terry's Tips Portfolios, Weekly Options | No Comments »
Monday, October 21st, 2019
Synchrony Financial rallied to a two-month high in the past week and several analysts think it can continue higher. Here is what the IBD had to say about the stock – This GE Spinoff Nears Buy Point On Strong Earnings. Also take a look at the following article which discusses Warren Buffett’s stake in the company – Here is What Hedge Funds Think About Synchrony Financial (SYF).
SYF recently regained both its 50 and 100 day moving averages which signals the broader bullish trend has potentially restarted. Of the two, the 100-day moving average was particularly strong resistance throughout September. For this reason, the indicator is now seen as strong support on near-term dips. The break above the 100-day moving average also means a break above the September high which in turn has set a successions of higher highs and higher lows. Another way to look at it is as a range breakout since the stock was essentially consolidating sideways above its 200-week moving average for the past two months or so.
SYF Chart October 2019
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for SYF, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least a little bit.
Buy To Open SYF 22NOV19 31.5 Puts (SYF191122P31.5)
Sell To Open SYF 22NOV19 34.5 Puts (SYF191122P34.5) for a credit of $0.93 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when SYF was trading near $34.50. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread. Each contract would then yield $91.70 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $208.30 ($300 – $91.70). If SYF closes at any price above $34.50 on November 22, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 44% (502% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates October 19, 2019
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: Auto-Trade, Calendar Spreads, Calls, Credit Spreads, diagonal spreads, Earnings Announcement, Earnings Option Strategy, implied volatility, Monthly Options, Options Tutorial Program, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, Risk, Stocks vs. Stock Options, SYF, Synchrony Financial, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, Volatility, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Credit Spreads, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Monthly Options, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Terry's Tips Portfolios, Weekly Options | No Comments »
Monday, September 30th, 2019
Lululemon Athletica’s reported earnings in early September which led to a rally to fresh all-time highs. Several analysts are expecting more upside, here are two of them – Is Lululemon (LULU) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think ” Yes “ and UBS Group Analysts Give Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ:LULU) a $210.00 Price Target.
After hitting all-time highs, LULU has edged lower to pare gains related to the earnings report. A confluence of support is in sight and considered quite strong. The confluence consists of the 50-Day moving average, a horizontal level, and the lower bound of a long-term bullish trend channel. The horizontal level comes in at $188 and previously acted as resistance on several rallies since June. The trend channel dates back to a low printed in late December and has contained price action since.
LULU Chart September 2019
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for LULU, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.
Buy To Open LULU 01NOV19 187.5 Puts (LULU191101P187.5)
Sell To Open LULU 01NOV19 190 Puts (LULU191101P190) for a credit of $1.10 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when LULU was trading near $190. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers). Each contract would then yield $107.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $142.50 ($250 – $107.50). If LULU closes at any price above $190 on November 1, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 75% (855% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates September 28, 2019
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: Auto-Trade, Calendar Spreads, Calls, Credit Spreads, diagonal spreads, Earnings Announcement, Earnings Option Strategy, Earnings Play, implied volatility, LULU, Lulu Lemon, Monthly Options, Options Tutorial Program, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, Risk, Stocks vs. Stock Options, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, Volatility, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Credit Spreads, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Monthly Options, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Terry's Tips Portfolios, Weekly Options | No Comments »
Monday, August 19th, 2019
This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies. We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.
Terry
Visa (V) Dips – Is it Time to Get In?
One analyst recently wrote an article titled Load Up On Visa which is the type of thing usually said when there is a sharp fall in the stock discussed, in the context that it is being offered at a discount. This is certainly not the case with Visa as the correction a few weeks back was much more shallow when compared to other stocks in the sector. The headline goes to show just how positive sentiment is. Also take a look at the following article which discusses Visa’s performance compared to its sector – Is Visa (V) Stock Outpacing Its Business Services Peers This Year?
From a technical perspective, the stock dipped lower in the early month but caught a strong bid near support to erase losses. There is a horizontal level in play at $172 which seems to have been respected by the market. If offered resistance in early June, and support after a gap up later in the month. Earlier this month, the same level held the stock at the open when it gapped lower. The 50-day moving average is also in play, and it is starting to look like the stock has regained it. The overall trend in Visa is impressive and pull backs throughout the rally this year have been shallow. Another sign of strength is how stable the stock was in the past week while the markets were generally volatile and under pressure.
V Chart August 2019
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for V, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, at least a little bit.
Buy To Open V 20SEP19 175 Puts (V190920P175)
Sell To Open V 20SEP19 180 Puts (V190920P180) for a credit of $2.06 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when V was trading near $178. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers). Each contract would then yield $203.50 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $296.50 ($500 – $203.50). If V closes at any price above $180 on September 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 69% (787% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates August 15, 2019
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: Auto-Trade, Bearish Options Strategies, Bullish Options strategies, Calendar Spreads, Calls, Credit Spreads, diagonal spreads, Earnings Option Strategy, implied volatility, Monthly Options, Options Tutorial Program, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, Risk, Stocks vs. Stock Options, TastyWorks, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, V, Visa, Volatility, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Credit Spreads, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Monthly Options, SPY, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Terry's Tips Portfolios, Weekly Options | No Comments »
Monday, July 29th, 2019
This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies. We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.
Terry
PayPal (PYPL) Dips Following Earnings, What’s Next?
PayPal slipped lower after reporting earnings in the past week. Take a look at what these analysts are saying about the stock post-earnings – PayPal Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Up Y/Y and PayPal’s Earnings May Have Disappointed but Its Chart is “BTF”.
Paypal dipped to the 50-day moving average on Thursday and held above the moving average on Friday. The stock trades at a confluence of support as there is also a horizontal level in play. The level comes in at $113.70 and acted as both resistance and support in the past. In the event the stock falls to hold here, there is further support from the 100-day moving average close to around $112.
PYPL Chart July 2019
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for PYPL, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.
Buy To Open PYPL 30AUG19 112 Puts (PYPL190830P112)
Sell To Open PYPL 30AUG19 115 Puts (PYPL190830P115) for a credit of $1.45 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when PYPL was trading near $115. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers). Each contract would then yield $142.50 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $157.50 ($300 – $142.50). If PYPL closes at any price above $115 on August 30, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 90% (1027% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates July 25, 2019
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: Auto-Trade, Bearish Options Strategies, Bull Put Credit Spread, Bullish Options strategies, Calendar Spreads, Calls, Credit Spreads, diagonal spreads, Earnings Announcement, Earnings Option Strategy, Earnings Play, implied volatility, Monthly Options, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, PYPL, Risk, SPY, Stocks vs. Stock Options, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Coffee Can Investing, Credit Spreads, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Monthly Options, SPY, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Weekly Options | No Comments »
Sunday, March 24th, 2019
This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies. We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.
Terry
Consider Amazon.com (AMZN) Following the Technical Breakout
AMZN recently made a significant technical break that stands to have bullish repercussions, take a look at what these two analysts have to say about it – Amazon’s Breakout May Fuel A Return To Its All-Time Highs and Amazon Stock Is Finally Breaking Out.
There are several ways to view the AMZN breakout, the above two articles include several of the variations. The one technical break that most are probably watching is the push above the stocks 200 daily moving average. The below chart shows that price stalled out near it three times this year prior to the technical break last week. A declining trendline originating from a high posted in October is also in play. In the current pullback, strong support is seen at the moving average followed by the previously broken descending trendline which is found slightly below the indicator.
AMZN Chart March 2019
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for AMZN, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.
Buy To Open AMZN 26APR19 1760 Puts (AMZN190426P1760)
Sell To Open AMZN 26APR19 1762.5 Puts (AMZN190426P1762.5) for a credit of $0.98 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when AMZN was trading near $1765. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers). Each contract would then yield $95.50 and your broker would charge a $250 maintenance fee, making your investment $154.50 ($250 – $95.50). If AMZN closes at any price above $1762.5 on April 26, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 62% (707% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates March 21, 2019
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: AMZN, Auto-Trade, Bull Put Credit Spread, Bullish Options strategies, Credit Spreads, Monthly Options, Options Tutorial Program, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, Risk, SPY, Stocks vs. Stock Options, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Credit Spreads, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Greeks, Monthly Options, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Terry's Tips Portfolios, Weekly Options | No Comments »
Sunday, February 10th, 2019
This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies. We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum. Our actual portfolio carried out at Terry’s Tips which trades these weekly ideas has gained 114% in the first five weeks of 2019. This portfolio also made over 100% in 2018 and we withdrew the starting investment amount so that we are playing entirely with profits at this time. Of course, there is no certainty that we can duplicate this success in the future, but we feel pretty good about our prospects.
Terry
Can Microchip Technology (MCHP) Maintain its Post-Earnings Momentum?
Microchip Technology saw its stock price rally just over 10% prior to pulling back as investor optimism grew following their earnings report in the past week. Just to be clear, the report was not as upbeat as expected. Actually, the stock had turned down initially, but it was a prediction from the company Chief Executive that caused investors to change their view and start buying. It’s a rather interesting turn of events and the following two articles explain why the markets have put so much weight to his prediction, and why the stock may continue to rise from here – Microchip’s stock soars after CEO calls for a bottom, and he’s been right before and Microchip: A Bottom Is Possibly In.
The push higher following earnings led to a signifcant technical break as the stock was pressed against a confluence of resistance prior to it. Resistance comes from the 200-day moving average as well as a declining trendline drawn from the June top. The stock price has pulled back a bit from horizontal resistance found at $89.20 that was a prior low and prior resistance following a gap down last summer. Support is found just above $85. In the even the support level does not hold, stronger support is found at the prior breakout point. Considering the significance of the technical break, bulls are likely to defend any dips in the near-term.
MCHP Chart February 2019
*source Tradingview.com
If you agree there’s further upside ahead for MCHP, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next five weeks, or at least not decline very much.
Buy To Open MCHP 15MAR19 85.00 Puts (MCHP190315P85.00)
Sell To Open MCHP 15MAR19 87.50 Puts (MCHP190315P87.50) for a credit of $1.10 (selling a vertical)
This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when MCHP was trading near $87.50. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.
Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers). Each contract would then yield $355.50 and your broker would charge a $1000 maintenance fee, making your investment $644.50 ($1000 – $355.50). If MCHP closes at any price above $87.50 on March 15, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 55% (627% annualized).
Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:
IBD Underlying Updates February 7, 2019
We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.
As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.
Happy trading,
Terry
Tags: Auto-Trade, Bull Put Credit Spread, Bullish Options strategies, Calls, Credit Spreads, MCHP, Monthly Options, Options Tutorial Program, Portfolio, Profit, profits, Puts, Risk, SPY, Stocks vs. Stock Options, Terry's Tips, thinkorswim, Volatility, Weekly Options
Posted in 10K Strategies, Credit Spreads, Earnings Announcement Options Strategy, Greeks, Monthly Options, Stock Option Trading Idea Of The Week, Stock Options Strategies, Terry's Tips Portfolios, Weekly Options | No Comments »
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