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Archive for January, 2019

Is the Earnings Dip in Atlassian Corp (TEAM) A Buy Opportunity?

Sunday, January 27th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Is the Earnings Dip in Atlassian Corp (TEAM) A Buy Opportunity?

Atlassian is a well-liked stocked by several analysts, not only because of their business model but also the stock price performance.  Look at what these two analysts are saying about the company – Software Stock Could Surge Into February and Analysts Hold Stances On Atlassian Following A ‘Ripper’ Of A Quarter.

TEAM turned higher alongside the broader markets in late December and briefly pierced to record highs following their recent earnings release, however, the stock closed about 10% lower after the report.  The price action that follows is particularily important as it suggests that bulls remain well in control.  First, the stock failed to make a sustained drop below it’s 20-day moving average.  Also a rising trend channel remains intact and buyers defended the lower bound of the channel following the post-earnings dip.  Lastly, on a weekly chart, TEAM closed at a weekly high for the year in the past week to further support the view that the earnings dip may have been a buying opportunity as opposed to a sell signal.

TEAM Chart January 2019

TEAM Chart January 2019

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for TEAM, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next seven weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open TEAM 15MAR19 90 Puts (TEAM190315P90)
Sell To Open TEAM 15MAR19 95 Puts (TEAM190315P95) for a credit of $1.93 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when TEAM was trading near $96.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $190.50 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $309.50 ($500 – $190.50).  If TEAM closes at any price above $95 on March 15, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 62% (492% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 24, 2019

IBD Underlying Updates January 24, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Consider Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) Following the Technical Breakout

Sunday, January 20th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Consider Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) Following the Technical Breakout

Several analysts expect more upside from CDNS, here are two of them – Disney and 4 Other Stock Picks from a Parnassus Fund Manager and Why Should You Retain Cadence Stock in Your Portfolio?

CDNS is seeng breaking higher from a triangle pattern which signals a continuation of the broader uptrend, often with a pick up in upside momentum.  In addition to the technical break, the stock is one of few on the IBD Top 50 List, and in the broader markets for that matter, that is on the verge of breaking to record highs.

CDNS Chart January 2019

CDNS Chart January 2019

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for CDNS, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open CDNS 15FEB19 43 Puts (CDNS190215P43)
Sell To Open CDNS 15FEB19 46 Puts (CDNS190215P46) for a credit of $0.65 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when CDNS was trading near $47.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $62.50 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $237.50 ($300 – $62.50).  If CDNS closes at any price above $46 on February 15, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 26% (380% annualized).  Note:  Options on CDNS are fairly illiquid, with large bid-ask spreads.  It would be especially important to place a limit order rather than a market order here.

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 17, 2019

IBD Underlying Updates January 17, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Can CyberArk Software (CYBR) Continue the Upside Momentum?

Sunday, January 13th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Can CyberArk Software (CYBR) Continue the Upside Momentum?

The Investor’s Business Daily recently published an article picking out CYBR as one of the 5 best companies that stand to gain as the market rallies, view the full article here.  As well, take a look at this article published on Zacks that details CYBR as an outperformer among its peers.

From a technical perspective, the main appeal to CyberArk’s stock is that it’s trading within a rising trend channel while a majority of stocks remain within a declining trend channel, which is an indication of strength.  In fact, looking at the CYBR chart alone, it would not be apparent that the broader markets had such a volatile decline in the last two months of 2018.  The stock price ended last week near highs and looks to be threatening a break above the December top.

CYBR Chart January 2019

CYBR Chart January 2019

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for CYBR, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next four weeks, at least a little bit.

Buy To Open CYBR 8FEB19 75 Puts (CYBR19028P75)
Sell To Open CYBR 8FEB19 78 Puts (CYBR19028P78) for a credit of $1.33 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when CYBR was trading near $80.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $130.50 and your broker would charge a $300 maintenance fee, making your investment $169.50 ($300 – $130.50).  If CYBR closes at any price above $78 on February 8, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 77% (1124% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 10, 2019

IBD Underlying Updates January 10, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

Will Five9 Inc (FIVN) Break Higher From It’s Range?

Sunday, January 6th, 2019

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry

Will Five9 Inc (FIVN) Break Higher From It’s Range?

Take a look at what these analysts have to say about Five9 – IBD 50 Stocks To Watch: How Cloud, AI Shape Five9’s Software Future and Lookout for these Two stocks: American International Group, Five9 Inc.

Five9 has consolidated higher since hitting a low in late October and is seen trading within a range.  The stock is an outperformer as most stocks posted losses in the last two months of the year.  A technical pattern is emerging as a triangle can be drawn around the recent consolidation.  To the upside, a break above $44.40 would suggest a bullish breakout.  There is a confluence of downside support deriving from a rising trendline, the 50-day moving average, as well as a horizontal level.  The horizontal level, which resides at $39.55, is considered well respected as it has acted both resistance and support on several occasions since the initial test in June.

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there’s further upside ahead for FIVN, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open FIVN 15FEB19 35 Puts (FIVN190215P35)
Sell To Open FIVN 15FEB19 40 Puts (FIVN190215P40) for a credit of $1.18 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when FIVN was trading near $43.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $2.50 per spread (the rate charged by thinkorswim for Terry’s Tips’ subscribers).  Each contract would then yield $115.50 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $384.50 ($500 – $115.50).  If FIVN closes at any price above $40 on February 15, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 30% (281% annualized).

Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates January 3, 2019

IBD Underlying Updates January 3, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years. Terry Allen's strategies have been the most consistent money makers for me. I used them during the 2008 melt-down, to earn over 50% annualized return, while all my neighbors were crying about their losses.

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